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What are the price trends and forecasts in Fukuoka right now? (2026)

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Japan Property Pack

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In this article, we look at the current housing prices in Fukuoka in 2026.

We also explain how Fukuoka property prices have moved recently, which neighborhoods are rising fastest, and what may happen next.

We constantly update this blog post so the Fukuoka real estate data stays fresh and useful.

And if you’re planning to buy a property in this place, you may want to download our pack covering the real estate market in Fukuoka.

What are the current property price trends in Fukuoka as of 2026?

Fukuoka property prices in 2026 are still going up, but the Fukuoka housing market is now more selective than before.

The strongest demand is still for homes near subway stations, JR stations, parks, schools, offices and large redevelopment areas such as Tenjin and Hakata.

This means that a good condo in central Fukuoka can still rise quickly, while an older detached house far from a station may move much more slowly.

What is the average house price in Fukuoka as of 2026?

As of 2026, the average house price in Fukuoka is about ¥47 million, which is roughly $294,000 or €254,000 using mid June 2026 exchange rates.

For the same Fukuoka residential property market in 2026, the estimated average price per square meter is about ¥400,000 per m², which is roughly $2,500 or €2,160 per m².

In practice, roughly 80% of normal property purchases in Fukuoka in 2026 fall between about ¥22 million and ¥100 million, or about $140,000 to $625,000 and €120,000 to €540,000.

How much have property prices increased in Fukuoka over the past 12 months?

Fukuoka property prices increased by about 7% over the past 12 months, using the official 2026 residential land price increase as the clearest public anchor.

Across Fukuoka property types, the realistic 12 month increase is closer to 8% to 10% for strong central condos, 5% to 8% for good station side apartments, and 3% to 5% for many older detached houses.

The single biggest reason for this Fukuoka property price growth is the shortage of well located residential land in a city that is still gaining people, households and business activity.

We treated land prices as a strong local signal, not as a perfect home sale price index.
We also compared these figures with our own Fukuoka transaction checks and neighborhood level analysis.

Which neighborhoods have the fastest rising property prices in Fukuoka as of 2026?

As of 2026, the three fastest rising Fukuoka neighborhoods are Ohori 1 chome, Ogusu 3 chome and Meinohama 5 chome, based on official land price growth points.

Ohori 1 chome increased by about 13.7%, Ogusu 3 chome by about 12.0%, and Meinohama 5 chome by about 11.9% in the 2026 Fukuoka official land price ranking.

The main reason these Fukuoka neighborhoods are rising so quickly is that buyers want either rare prestige near central parks, better value close to the city center, or family friendly station access.

By the way, you will find much more detailed price ranges across neighborhoods in our property pack covering the real estate market in Fukuoka.

We used named survey points, then grouped them into buyer friendly neighborhood explanations.
We also checked whether each area has real demand, not only a one year price spike.

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Which property types are increasing faster in value in Fukuoka as of 2026?

As of 2026, the Fukuoka property types rising fastest are condos first, apartments second, townhouses and compact houses third, detached houses fourth, and villas last because villas are not a normal urban Fukuoka category.

The top performing Fukuoka property type is the well located condo, with annual appreciation often around 7% to 10% in good central or station side locations.

Condos are outperforming in Fukuoka because buyers and renters want easy maintenance, earthquake resistant buildings, station access and simple resale value.

Finally, if you’re interested in a specific property type, you will find our latest analyses here:

We compared national condo strength with Fukuoka station side demand and local building age patterns.
We also used our own rental liquidity checks to separate easy to resell homes from weaker stock.

What is driving property prices up or down in Fukuoka as of 2026?

As of 2026, the three main forces driving Fukuoka property prices are population growth, central redevelopment around Tenjin and Hakata, and higher borrowing costs.

The strongest upward pressure on Fukuoka property prices is still population and household growth, because more people and smaller households create steady demand for condos and apartments.

If you want to understand these factors at a deeper level, you can read our latest property market analysis about Fukuoka here.

We separated local demand drivers from national rate pressure, because both matter in Fukuoka in 2026.
We also used our own affordability model to test whether local buyers can still absorb higher prices.

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What is the property price forecast for Fukuoka in 2026?

For the rest of 2026, Fukuoka property prices should keep rising, but the pace should be slower than during the hottest years of the market.

The Fukuoka real estate market still has strong support from population growth, redevelopment and limited central land, but buyers are now more sensitive to mortgage payments.

How much are property prices expected to increase in Fukuoka in 2026?

As of 2026, Fukuoka property prices are expected to increase by about 6% over the full year.

The realistic forecast range for Fukuoka property price growth in 2026 is about 4% to 8%, with prime condos above that range and weak access homes below that range.

The main assumption behind this Fukuoka property forecast is that demand stays solid while higher mortgage rates slow, but do not stop, buyer activity.

We go deeper and try to understand how solid are these forecasts in our pack covering the property market in Fukuoka.

We started from the official 7.0% residential land gain, then reduced the forecast for affordability pressure.
We also tested the result against our own Fukuoka neighborhood demand scores.

Which neighborhoods will see the highest price growth in Fukuoka in 2026?

As of 2026, the Fukuoka neighborhoods expected to see the highest price growth are Hakozaki, Meinohama, Ogusu, Jirōmaru, Hashimoto, Arae, Ijiri and the Hakata edge areas of Gion, Chiyo and Higashi Hie.

Projected 2026 price growth is about 7% to 10% in Hakozaki, 6% to 9% in Meinohama and Ogusu, and 5% to 8% in Jirōmaru, Hashimoto, Arae and Hakata edge locations.

The main catalyst is the search for better value near transport, because many Fukuoka buyers have been priced out of the most expensive parts of Ohori, Akasaka, Yakuin and Nishijin.

One Fukuoka neighborhood that could surprise on the upside is Hakozaki, because transport access and redevelopment expectations are combining with a still reasonable entry price.

By the way, we’ve written a blog article detailing what are the current best areas to invest in property in Fukuoka.

Sources and methodology: we used Fukuoka top growth data, Hakata Connected and MLIT land data.
We then ranked areas by transport, entry price, rental depth and future buyer demand.
We also used our own neighborhood notes to avoid overrating famous but already expensive areas.

What property types will appreciate the most in Fukuoka in 2026?

As of 2026, condos are expected to appreciate the most in Fukuoka, especially modern used condos near subway or JR stations.

The projected appreciation for strong Fukuoka condos in 2026 is about 7% to 10%, with the best results in central and station side buildings.

The main demand trend is simple: Fukuoka households want practical homes that are easy to rent, easy to maintain and easy to sell later.

The property type most likely to underperform in Fukuoka is the older detached house far from a station, because buyers worry about renovation costs, resale value and daily convenience.

We compared property types by appreciation, liquidity, maintenance risk and rental demand.
We also used our own buyer profile work to identify which homes future buyers will understand fastest.

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How will interest rates affect property prices in Fukuoka in 2026?

As of 2026, higher interest rates should slow Fukuoka property price growth, but the rate impact is more likely to cool the market than cause a broad fall.

The Bank of Japan policy rate moved to about 1% in June 2026, while the most common Flat 35 fixed mortgage rate for 21 to 35 years was about 3.21% for loans up to 90% of the property price.

In Fukuoka, a 1% rise in mortgage rates can reduce buyer affordability by roughly 10% to 15%, which often pushes buyers toward smaller homes, outer wards or lower bids.

You can also read our latest update about mortgage and interest rates in Japan.

We focused on monthly payment pressure, because buyers feel payments more directly than policy rates.
We also used our own affordability checks for family condos and detached houses in Fukuoka.

What are the biggest risks for property prices in Fukuoka in 2026?

As of 2026, the three biggest risks for Fukuoka property prices are higher mortgage rates, overpaying in prime neighborhoods, and buying older buildings with weak management or high repair costs.

The risk most likely to materialize in Fukuoka is affordability pressure, because prices have risen faster than many local incomes and financing costs are now higher.

We actually cover all these risks and their likelihoods in our pack about the real estate market in Fukuoka.

Sources and methodology: we used JHF mortgage rates, Fukuoka land prices and OECD Japan analysis.
We judged risk by probability and buyer impact, not only by scary headlines.
We also added our own due diligence checklist for building age, repair reserves and resale depth.

Is it a good time to buy a rental property in Fukuoka in 2026?

As of 2026, it can be a good time to buy a rental property in Fukuoka, but only if the rent supports the price without relying on big future capital gains.

The strongest argument for buying a Fukuoka rental property now is that population growth, students, office workers, airport access and central redevelopment keep the tenant base deep.

The strongest argument for waiting is that some prime Fukuoka condos now have low rental yields, so an investor can easily buy a good location at a weak investment price.

If you want to know our latest analysis (results may differ from what you just read), you can read our assessment on whether now is a good time to buy a property in Fukuoka.

You’ll also find a dedicated document about this specific question in our pack about real estate in Fukuoka.

Sources and methodology: we used MLIT transaction data, Fukuoka population data and Hakata Connected.
We tested rental property appeal by yield, tenant pool, station access and exit liquidity.
We also used our own rent and listing checks to avoid treating prestige as cash flow.

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Where will property prices be in 5 years in Fukuoka?

Over the next 5 years, Fukuoka property prices should keep rising in nominal terms, but gains should differ a lot by neighborhood and property type.

The best assets should be practical, well located homes with clear demand from both buyers and renters.

What is the 5-year property price forecast for Fukuoka as of 2026?

As of 2026, Fukuoka property prices are expected to rise by about 25% to 35% over the next 5 years, with a base case near 30% by 2031.

A conservative 5 year forecast for Fukuoka is about 10% to 15%, while an optimistic forecast is about 40% to 50% if wages, migration and investor demand stay strong.

This means the projected average annual appreciation rate in Fukuoka is about 5% to 6% per year over the next 5 years in the base case.

The key assumption behind most 5 year Fukuoka property forecasts is that the city keeps gaining households while central land remains scarce.

We used a nominal forecast, which means the numbers include inflation effects.
We also reduced future growth compared with 2026 because affordability usually tightens after several strong years.

Which areas in Fukuoka will have the best price growth over the next 5 years?

The three Fukuoka areas expected to have the best price growth over the next 5 years are Hakozaki, Meinohama and the Hakata edge area around Gion, Chiyo and Higashi Hie.

Projected 5 year cumulative growth is about 35% to 45% for Hakozaki, 30% to 40% for Meinohama, and 30% to 40% for strong Hakata edge locations.

This 5 year forecast is slightly different from the 2026 forecast because longer term growth rewards infrastructure, tenant depth and relative affordability more than short term momentum.

The currently undervalued Fukuoka area with the best 5 year outperformance potential is Hakozaki, because the area still offers transport access, redevelopment expectations and lower entry prices than many central neighborhoods.

We ranked areas by today’s price, expected demand, transport access and likely future liquidity.
We also used our own neighborhood scoring to avoid choosing only famous names.

What property type will give the best return in Fukuoka over 5 years as of 2026?

As of 2026, the Fukuoka property type expected to give the best 5 year total return is a modern used condo near a strong subway or JR station.

The projected 5 year total return for this Fukuoka property type is about 45% to 60%, combining roughly 25% to 35% price growth with rental income over the period.

The main structural trend favoring this property type is the growth of smaller households that want convenient, low maintenance homes near jobs, stations and daily services.

The best balance of return and lower risk in Fukuoka should come from 1LDK to 3LDK station side condos in areas such as Yakuin, Ropponmatsu, Nishijin, Hakozaki, Meinohama and Ijiri.

We included both price appreciation and rental income, because investors care about total return.
We also used our own liquidity checks to favor homes with broad future buyer demand.

How will new infrastructure projects affect property prices in Fukuoka over 5 years?

The three major projects expected to affect Fukuoka property prices over the next 5 years are Tenjin Big Bang, Hakata Connected and Fukuoka Airport’s second runway and capacity improvements.

In Fukuoka, properties near completed transport, office or public space upgrades can often earn a 5% to 15% premium if the building quality and street environment are also strong.

The Fukuoka neighborhoods likely to benefit most are Akasaka, Yakuin, Watanabe dori, Ohori, Gion, Chiyo, Higashi Hie, Yoshizuka, Hakozaki and airport accessible parts of Hakata ku and Higashi ku.

Sources and methodology: we used Tenjin Big Bang, Hakata Connected and Fukuoka Airport.
We treated infrastructure as a demand amplifier, not as automatic proof that every nearby home will rise.
We also checked which residential areas actually benefit from better daily life, not only headlines.

How will population growth and other factors impact property values in Fukuoka in 5 years?

Fukuoka population and household growth should support property values over the next 5 years, with the strongest impact on condos and apartments near transport.

The demographic shift with the strongest influence on Fukuoka property demand is the growth of smaller households, because singles and couples often prefer compact, convenient homes.

Domestic migration from other parts of Kyushu and international inflows should help Fukuoka property values, especially in areas with universities, offices, hospitals and airport access.

The property types and areas that should benefit most are compact condos, family condos and rental apartments in Hakata, Hakozaki, Yakuin, Ropponmatsu, Nishijin, Meinohama, Ijiri and Takamiya.

We focused on households rather than only population, because households create housing demand.
We also used our own tenant pool analysis for student, worker and family locations.
infographics comparison property prices Fukuoka

We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Japan compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It’s an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

What is the 10 year property price outlook in Fukuoka?

The 10 year Fukuoka property outlook is positive, but buyers should expect a selective market rather than a simple boom.

The strongest long term homes in Fukuoka should be the ones that remain useful in daily life, easy to rent, easy to finance and easy to resell.

What is the 10-year property price prediction for Fukuoka as of 2026?

As of 2026, Fukuoka property prices are expected to rise by about 50% to 70% over the next 10 years in the base case.

A conservative 10 year forecast for Fukuoka is about 20% to 30%, while an optimistic forecast is about 80% to 100% if migration, wages and investor demand stay strong.

The projected average annual appreciation rate in Fukuoka over the next 10 years is about 4% to 5% in the base case.

The biggest uncertainty in a 10 year Fukuoka property forecast is whether local wages and household incomes can keep up with higher prices and higher borrowing costs.

We used a long term nominal forecast and reduced annual growth after the first 5 years.
We also stress tested the forecast against affordability, building age and neighborhood quality.

What long-term economic factors will shape property prices in Fukuoka?

The three long term economic factors that will shape Fukuoka property prices are household growth, interest rates and construction costs.

The most positive long term factor for Fukuoka property values is household growth, because more households need more homes even if average household size becomes smaller.

The greatest structural risk for Fukuoka property values is affordability, because a strong city can still slow down if home prices move too far above local incomes.

You’ll also find a much more detailed analysis in our pack about real estate in Fukuoka.

We separated structural demand from short term sentiment, because 10 year forecasts need slower and steadier assumptions.
We also used our own building quality and resale risk framework for Fukuoka neighborhoods.

What sources have we used to write this blog article?

Whether it’s in our blog articles or the market analyses included in our property pack about Fukuoka, we always rely on the strongest methodology we can use, and we don’t throw out numbers at random.

We also aim to be fully transparent, so below we’ve listed the authoritative sources we used, and explained how we used them and the methods behind our estimates.

Source Why this source matters How we used it
Fukuoka City 2026 Official Land Price Release Fukuoka City publishes the official local summary of national land price results. We used it as the main anchor for 2026 residential land growth in Fukuoka. We treated land growth as a strong local signal, not a complete home price index.
Fukuoka City 2026 Top Growth Ranking This official PDF shows the fastest rising land price survey points in Fukuoka. We used it to identify Ohori, Ogusu, Meinohama, Jirōmaru and Omiya. We then translated survey points into practical neighborhood insights.
Fukuoka City Ward Level Land Price PDF This official table compares residential land prices across Fukuoka wards. We used it to separate expensive wards from fast rising wards. We avoided assuming that high price always means high growth.
MLIT Real Estate Transaction Library MLIT is the Japanese government source for real estate transaction information. We used it to ground the analysis in actual market data. We used it to avoid relying only on asking prices.
MLIT Real Estate Price Index This is Japan’s official residential property price index and methodology source. We used it to compare property types at the national level. We then adjusted the conclusion to Fukuoka’s local condo and station side demand.
Fukuoka City Population Statistics This is Fukuoka City’s official monthly population statistics page. We used it to confirm that population and household growth remain core demand drivers. We gave more weight to households than total population.
Fukuoka City Long Term Population Projection This is the city’s own long term demographic projection. We used it for the 5 year and 10 year housing demand outlook. We focused on future household demand and the city’s long growth runway.
Japan Housing Finance Agency Flat 35 Rates JHF publishes official rates for Japan’s major long term fixed mortgage product. We used the June 2026 Flat 35 rates to estimate financing pressure. We connected mortgage costs to affordability for Fukuoka buyers.
Bank of Japan 2026 Monetary Policy Releases The BOJ is Japan’s official central bank source for monetary policy. We used it to frame the 2026 interest rate environment. We did not assume policy rates pass instantly into every mortgage product.
Fukuoka City Tenjin Big Bang This is the official page for Fukuoka’s major Tenjin redevelopment program. We used it to explain demand support around central Fukuoka. We connected the project to nearby residential areas such as Akasaka, Yakuin and Ohori.
Fukuoka City Hakata Connected This is the official source for the Hakata Station redevelopment program. We used it to support the forecast for Hakata edge areas. We treated it as a demand driver, not as direct proof of home price gains.
Fukuoka Airport Official Website The airport is the official source for Fukuoka airport access and role. We used it to include airport access as a citywide demand factor. We applied the impact mainly to central and airport accessible residential areas.

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