Buying real estate in Japan?

We've created a guide to help you avoid pitfalls, save time, and make the best long-term investment possible.

The real estate market in Osaka: 2024 forecast

Last updated on 

property investment Osaka

Yes, the analysis of Osaka's property market is included in our pack

As we step into the year 2024, the real estate landscape in Osaka continues to evolve, presenting both challenges and opportunities for investors, homeowners, and industry stakeholders.

In this article, we will give you a clear picture of what's happening in Osaka's real estate scene for the year ahead.

If you need a full and more detailed report, with fresh data and actionable advice, please note that you can get our property pack for Japan. This pack will also give you unlimited access to our team of experts, allowing you to ask them anything related to the housing market in Osaka specifically.

How's the Japanese economy doing?

Current state

Understanding the real estate market in Osaka, Japan, requires a nuanced look at several interrelated factors, including the nation's economic stability, historical and recent government policies, local investment trends, and the legal framework surrounding property investment.

Japan, known for its economic resilience and stability, has maintained a steady, though sometimes slow, economic growth. This stability positively impacts the real estate sector, offering a relatively safe environment for investment.

However, Japan has also faced challenges like population decline and economic stagnation, which can influence real estate dynamics.

The real estate market in Japan, and specifically in Osaka, has seen fluctuations over the years. Historically, Japan experienced a massive real estate bubble in the late 1980s, followed by a prolonged period of deflation.

In recent years, the market has been more stable, with steady growth in urban areas like Osaka. This city, being a major commercial and industrial hub, attracts a lot of interest in both commercial and residential properties.

Government policies have significantly influenced Japan's housing market. Post-World War II reforms led to substantial urban development.

More recently, the Japanese government has implemented measures to stimulate the housing market, such as low-interest rates and tax incentives for home buyers. These policies often aim to address issues like urbanization, aging population, and the need for sustainable housing.

Notable events that have impacted the market include natural disasters like earthquakes and tsunamis, which have led to tighter building regulations and a focus on disaster-resistant construction.

Additionally, events like the 2020 Tokyo Olympics spurred development, particularly in major cities like Osaka.

Regarding regulatory changes, Japan has seen amendments in property and investment laws to encourage foreign investment. These changes include simplifying the process for purchasing real estate and offering residency options for substantial investors.

However, foreign investors still face challenges like language barriers and a complex legal system.

Locally, Osaka is viewed favorably for real estate investment. The city's ongoing development, significant cultural and historical appeal, and status as a major economic center make it attractive.

Popular investment areas include central business districts and residential areas near key public amenities. Properties like modern apartments in city centers or houses in well-connected suburbs are highly sought after.

For foreign investors, specific incentives include the potential for property value appreciation and rental income in a stable economy.

However, drawbacks can include higher acquisition taxes and difficulties in understanding the local market without adequate local assistance.

In comparison to neighboring regions or similar cities in Asia, Osaka's real estate prices are competitive, offering a balance of affordability and investment potential.

However, prices can be higher than in rural areas of Japan.

Finally, Japan's legal framework for real estate is robust and transparent, with well-established property rights and legal processes.

However, the complexity of the system can be daunting, especially for foreign investors unfamiliar with Japanese law and practices.

Outlook and forecast

Osaka's real estate market does indeed have unique factors that distinguish it from other markets.

Let's delve into these specifics, the city's economic forecast, potential policy changes, opportunities for improvement, and risks to consider.

Firstly, Osaka's unique factors include its strategic location as a major port city and a commercial hub in Japan. This position fosters a dynamic market, particularly in commercial real estate. Osaka also has a rich cultural and historical heritage, attracting tourists and supporting a robust hospitality sector.

Additionally, the city's focus on innovation and technology contributes to a growing demand for office spaces and residential properties for the workforce.

Regarding the economic forecast for Osaka, it leans towards the positive side, albeit with cautious optimism. The city has shown resilience and adaptability, especially in sectors like technology and tourism. Osaka's economy is expected to grow, albeit at a moderate pace.

This growth, however, might not be as rapid as in Tokyo, Japan's capital, but it's generally more stable and sustainable. This stability is crucial for the real estate market, as it implies a lower risk of bubbles and crashes.

As for typical policy areas that could affect the real estate market include tax reforms, housing regulations, and foreign investment policies.

For instance, if the government introduces incentives for first-time homebuyers or eases regulations for foreign investors, this could significantly boost the market.

In terms of improvements, there are several specific facts about Osaka that bode well for its real estate market. The city's ongoing infrastructure projects, like the expansion of its transportation network, can increase property values in newly accessible areas.

Another factor is Osaka's bid for global events, like the World Expo, which can drive development and attract international attention.

However, with opportunities come risks. Specific risks in Osaka's real estate market include the city's vulnerability to natural disasters like earthquakes, which can impact investor confidence.

Additionally, demographic changes, such as an aging population, could lead to shifts in housing demand.

If these risks materialize, they could lead to a slowdown in the market, affecting property prices and rental incomes.

Investing in Osaka's real estate market requires balancing these risks with the potential for growth. It's a market characterized by stability and moderate growth, with unique opportunities in sectors like technology and tourism.

However, it's also a market where investors must be mindful of natural and demographic challenges. Navigating this market successfully requires a nuanced understanding of these local dynamics and an eye on potential policy shifts in the coming year.

Make a profitable investment in Osaka

Better information leads to better decisions. Save time and money. Download our guide.

buying property in Osaka

What about housing prices in Osaka?

If you want to know the last prices, rents and yields in Osaka, we have prepared everything you need in our property pack for Japan.

Current state

In Osaka, the trend in real estate prices over the past few years has been quite intriguing.

Let's break down these trends, look at how prices have responded to economic shifts, and examine the specific factors driving these changes.

Historically, real estate prices in Osaka, like much of Japan, saw a dramatic increase during the asset price bubble in the late 1980s. Following the bubble's burst in the early 1990s, prices plummeted and entered a prolonged period of stagnation.

In the past decade, though, there's been a notable shift. Prices began to recover, spurred by economic improvements and government policies aimed at stimulating the market.

Comparing current real estate prices to those a decade ago, there's a clear increase. This rise has been particularly notable in the last few years. The increase is attributable to several factors, including low-interest rates, increased foreign investment, and urban development projects.

Osaka, with its growing appeal as a commercial and cultural hub, has seen a higher rate of price growth compared to some other regions in Japan.

The types of properties experiencing the highest growth in Osaka are predominantly residential units in central areas and commercial properties. Residential properties, especially modern apartments in central locations, are in high demand due to the city's growing population and urbanization.

Commercial properties, on the other hand, are benefiting from Osaka's status as a business hub. These trends are driven by the city's economic dynamism and its appeal to both domestic and international investors.

Speaking of the population, Osaka has experienced interesting changes recently. While Japan as a whole faces a declining population due to low birth rates and an aging demographic, urban areas like Osaka have seen a population influx.

Young professionals and families are attracted to the city for its employment opportunities and vibrant lifestyle. This influx has contributed to the demand for housing, particularly in well-connected, central areas.

The trends in Osaka's real estate market are driven by a combination of economic, demographic, and policy factors.

Economic improvements and low-interest rates have made property investment more attractive. The city's ongoing development and modernization projects are enhancing its appeal.

Government policies, particularly those encouraging foreign investment and home buying, have also played a significant role.

Outlook and forecast

In Osaka, several economic and demographic factors are currently shaping real estate prices. Understanding these elements is key to grasping the city's property market dynamics.

One significant economic factor is the interest rate environment in Japan, which has been characterized by low rates for an extended period. This makes borrowing more affordable for homebuyers and investors, increasing demand for real estate.

Another factor is foreign investment. Osaka, being a significant urban and cultural center, attracts international investors, which drives up property prices.

Demographically, urban migration is a crucial factor. Young professionals and families are drawn to Osaka for its employment opportunities and lifestyle, leading to increased demand for housing, particularly in central and well-connected areas. This demand pressure tends to drive up prices.

Additionally, Osaka's growing status as a tourist destination also fuels the market, especially in sectors like hospitality and retail.

Looking at future trends and events that could lead to an increase in housing prices, several specific factors come to mind. The anticipated 2025 World Expo in Osaka is a significant one. Such a global event typically triggers infrastructure development, increases international visibility, and boosts the local economy, all of which can lead to higher real estate prices.

Furthermore, ongoing urban development projects, like the expansion of the city's transportation network, will likely enhance the value of properties in newly accessible areas.

However, these factors might not uniformly affect all cities and regions in Japan. While major urban centers like Tokyo and Osaka may see similar trends due to their economic and cultural significance, rural or less-developed regions may not experience the same level of growth.

Conversely, certain factors could lead to a decrease in housing prices in Osaka. One such factor is the potential impact of Japan's overall demographic challenge - its aging population. If this leads to a decrease in the workforce and a smaller pool of potential homebuyers, it could negatively impact housing demand.

Additionally, any global economic downturns or shifts in international investment patterns could reduce foreign investment in Osaka's real estate market, potentially lowering prices.

Natural disasters, a risk in Japan, could also impact the market. Earthquakes or other events can lead to immediate drops in property values and investor confidence.

However, the impact of such events is often more pronounced in areas directly affected and may not be indicative of trends in other regions of the country.

Make sure you understand the real estate market in Osaka

Don't rush into buying the wrong property in Japan. Sit, relax and read our guide to avoid costly mistakes and make the best investment possible.

real estate market Osaka

How's the demand for the real estate market in Osaka?

Current state

In Osaka, the current demand for residential real estate presents an interesting scenario, shaped by various factors such as buyer preferences, mortgage rates, and government policies.

The demand for residential real estate in Osaka is robust, reflecting the city's status as a major economic and cultural hub. There tends to be a higher demand for housing compared to the supply, especially in central and well-connected areas.

This demand is driven by the influx of professionals and families seeking accommodation in the city, alongside investors drawn by the city's growth potential.

In terms of the supply of new housing, there's a concerted effort to meet this growing demand, but challenges persist. New developments are underway, particularly in emerging neighborhoods and areas undergoing revitalization.

However, these developments sometimes struggle to keep pace with the rapid increase in demand, particularly for certain types of properties.

Buyers in Osaka are looking for a range of properties, but there's a notable interest in modern apartments in central locations. These properties are popular among young professionals and small families who prioritize convenience and accessibility to work, amenities, and entertainment.

There's also a growing interest in properties that offer advanced technological features and sustainable living options, reflecting broader trends in society.

Current interest rates for mortgages in Japan, including Osaka, are relatively low, which historically has been a trend in the country. These low rates increase the buying power of consumers, making it more feasible for many to purchase property.

Low rates also stimulate demand in the real estate market as more people find it financially viable to buy homes.

Recent changes in government policies and regulations have had a notable impact on the local real estate market. Typical changes that affect the market include tax reforms, subsidies for homebuyers, and adjustments in zoning laws.

For instance, any tax incentives for first-time buyers or subsidies for purchasing energy-efficient homes can significantly boost market demand.

Similarly, changes in zoning laws can open up new areas for development, affecting both supply and prices.

Outlook and forecast

In Osaka, demographic shifts like aging populations and urbanization significantly influence the real estate market, shaping the demand for various types of properties and investment trends.

The aging population in Japan, including Osaka, creates a unique demand in the real estate market. There's an increasing need for properties that are accessible and comfortable for older individuals, such as homes with fewer stairs, enhanced safety features, and proximity to healthcare facilities.

This demographic trend is also leading to a rise in the demand for smaller, more manageable living spaces, as many elderly individuals downsize from family homes to apartments.

Urbanization is another powerful force shaping Osaka's real estate market. The city's draw as an economic and cultural hub brings in a younger, working-age population.

This influx boosts the demand for residential properties, especially in central, well-connected areas. Young professionals and families typically look for modern apartments with conveniences like high-speed internet, proximity to public transportation, and access to city amenities.

The trends in household formation also play a role. There's a noticeable shift towards smaller household sizes, partly due to the aging population and partly due to younger generations' lifestyle choices.

This shift influences the demand for one-bedroom apartments or compact living spaces, which are becoming increasingly popular among single professionals and young couples.

In terms of real estate as an investment in Osaka, there's a growing interest in both residential and commercial properties. Residential properties in central Osaka, particularly modern apartments with good amenities, are sought after for their rental income potential and value appreciation.

Commercial real estate, such as office spaces and retail properties, is also in demand, driven by Osaka's economic growth and urban development.

Cultural trends, such as a growing awareness of environmental sustainability, are influencing the housing market as well. This awareness is leading to a rise in the demand for eco-friendly homes, which incorporate energy-efficient technologies and sustainable materials.

Such properties are not only appealing due to their environmental benefits but also because they can offer savings in energy costs over time.

The investment landscape in Osaka's real estate market is also shaped by the role of foreign investment. Foreign investors are often drawn to properties in prime locations and luxury apartments, which can offer high rental yields and significant value appreciation. This interest from overseas buyers adds to the demand in these market segments.

Regarding foreign investment, Japan has regulations that impact how overseas investors can engage in the real estate market.

While there are no significant restrictions on foreign ownership of property in Japan, language barriers and differences in business practices can pose challenges.

However, recent government policies aimed at stimulating the economy, such as visa reforms and investment incentives, are encouraging more foreign investment, boosting demand in certain sectors of the market.

Finally, niche markets in Osaka's real estate, such as luxury properties and eco-friendly homes, are experiencing their unique trends. The luxury property market, which includes high-end apartments and exclusive residential areas, attracts both wealthy domestic buyers and international investors.

The market for eco-friendly homes, while still developing, is gaining traction among buyers who prioritize sustainability and long-term efficiency.

Don't lose money on your property in Osaka

100% of people who have lost money in Japan have spent less than 1 hour researching the market. We have reviewed everything there is to know. Grab our guide now.

invest real estate in Osaka

How's the rental market in Osaka?

Current state

The demand for rental properties in Osaka reflects the city's diverse population and its status as a major urban center in Japan.

Different types of properties and locations cater to varied tenant preferences, influenced by factors such as age, family size, and economic status.

In urban areas of Osaka, there's a high demand for apartments, especially among young professionals, single individuals, and small families. These tenants typically prioritize location and convenience, favoring properties close to public transportation, workplaces, and city amenities like shops, restaurants, and entertainment options.

Apartments in central Osaka, particularly those that are modern, well-maintained, and with good security, are highly sought after.

The features most in demand by tenants in these urban rental properties include high-speed internet, modern appliances, and energy-efficient systems. For many young professionals and families, a property's ability to support a comfortable and connected lifestyle is crucial.

Size is also a consideration, but given the premium on space in a city like Osaka, efficiency and layout can be as important as the actual square footage.

In contrast, in suburban and rural areas of Osaka, the rental market caters more to families and older residents. These areas see higher demand for single-family homes or larger apartments that offer more living space and a quieter environment.

Tenants in these regions often look for features like extra bedrooms, outdoor space, and proximity to good schools and community facilities.

The demographic characteristics of tenants in Osaka vary by region. Urban areas, as mentioned, tend to attract younger tenants, including students and young professionals, who are generally single or have small families. These individuals often have moderate to high income levels, reflecting the employment opportunities in the city.

Suburban areas attract families and middle-aged tenants, who may prioritize space and community over the convenience of city living.

Rural areas might see a mix of tenants, including retirees seeking a peaceful lifestyle, or families drawn to the affordability and space that rural living can offer.

Income levels and economic factors significantly influence the type of properties tenants are renting. Higher-income individuals or families can afford to rent larger apartments or houses in desirable areas of the city or in affluent suburban neighborhoods.

Those with lower incomes might opt for smaller apartments, shared accommodations, or properties in less central locations where rents are more affordable.

Certain regions in Osaka have a high concentration of specific tenant groups. For instance, areas close to universities and educational institutions are likely to have a higher concentration of student tenants. These areas might have a higher demand for affordable, smaller apartments or shared accommodations.

Similarly, upscale neighborhoods may attract more high-income professionals or expatriates, while suburban areas are more appealing to families and middle-aged tenants.

Outlook and forecast

The rental market in Osaka is influenced by a myriad of factors, including evolving lifestyles, demographic shifts, urban development, technological advancements, and environmental consciousness.

Each of these elements plays a distinct role in shaping the rental landscape.

Evolving lifestyles and work patterns, especially the rise of remote work, are significantly influencing rental preferences in Osaka.

With more people working from home, there's an increased demand for rental properties that can accommodate a home office. Spaces that are quiet, have an extra room, or at least a dedicated area for work, are becoming more desirable.

This shift is leading to a preference for slightly larger apartments or homes even in urban areas, where space was previously less of a priority.

Demographic changes also play a crucial role. Osaka, like many parts of Japan, is experiencing an aging population. This demographic shift is reflected in the rental market through an increased demand for properties that are accessible and convenient for older residents.

On the other end of the spectrum, the city's appeal to young professionals and students means there's also a steady demand for smaller, more affordable units.

Emerging urban areas in Osaka are becoming new hotspots for rental properties. Neighborhoods undergoing revitalization or those near new infrastructure projects, like expanded subway lines or commercial developments, are particularly attractive.

These areas offer the dual benefits of modern amenities and the potential for future growth, making them appealing to both tenants and landlords.

Technological advancements are impacting the rental market significantly. Properties equipped with high-speed internet, smart home features, and energy-efficient appliances are increasingly in demand.

Tenants are looking for homes that not only offer comfort but also integrate the latest technology to enhance their living experience.

Sustainability and green living are also influencing rental trends in Osaka. There's a growing awareness and preference for eco-friendly homes.

Features like energy-efficient lighting, recycling facilities, and green spaces are becoming important factors for tenants. This trend is not only driven by environmental consciousness but also by the long-term cost savings these features offer.

The rental market forecast across various regions of Japan varies. In major urban centers like Tokyo and Osaka, demand remains high, especially for properties that cater to the evolving needs of tenants.

However, in rural areas or smaller cities, the demand might not be as robust, influenced by factors like population decline and fewer employment opportunities.

Looking at the long-term outlook for Osaka's rental market, considering all these factors, it appears to be on a path of steady evolution. The city's ability to adapt to changing lifestyles, demographics, and technological needs positions it well for sustained demand in the rental sector.

Properties that align with these evolving preferences – be it larger apartments for remote workers, accessible homes for the elderly, or eco-friendly living spaces – are likely to see continued interest.

Finally, niche markets in Osaka, such as luxury properties and eco-friendly homes, are experiencing unique trends. The luxury rental market, catering to high-income tenants, focuses on exclusive locations, high-end amenities, and superior design and construction quality.

The eco-friendly segment, though smaller, is gaining traction, driven by a combination of environmental awareness and economic factors.

Make sure you understand the real estate market in Osaka

Don't rush into buying the wrong property in Japan. Sit, relax and read our guide to avoid costly mistakes and make the best investment possible.

real estate market Osaka

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.