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How is the property market forecast in Cebu?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Philippines Property Pack

property investment Cebu

Yes, the analysis of Cebu's property market is included in our pack

Cebu's property market continues to show strong fundamentals with steady price appreciation and robust demand from both local and overseas buyers. The city's condo prices have increased 3-5% annually while house prices gained 4-6%, supported by infrastructure development and growing BPO sector employment.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in the Philippines, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At BambooRoutes, we explore the Philippine real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Cebu, Manila, and Davao. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What are the current average prices per square meter for condos and houses in Cebu?

Cebu's condominium prices currently range from ₱130,000 to ₱230,000 per square meter depending on location and building quality.

Premium locations like Cebu IT Park and Cebu Business Park command the highest rates, often reaching ₱220,000-₱230,000 per square meter for newly completed units. Mid-tier areas such as Lahug and Banilad typically see prices between ₱160,000-₱190,000 per square meter, while emerging districts offer more affordable options starting around ₱130,000 per square meter.

For houses, the typical three-bedroom property in gated communities costs between ₱8 million and ₱12 million. This translates to land prices of approximately ₱12,000 to ₱14,000 per square meter for residential lots, with variations based on specific location within Metro Cebu. Houses in exclusive subdivisions near business districts or with premium amenities can exceed these ranges significantly.

Over the past 12 months, residential property prices have shown consistent appreciation. Condominium prices increased by 3-5% annually, while house prices gained 4-6%, reflecting the strong fundamentals driving Cebu's property market.

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How many new residential and commercial units will be completed in Cebu over the next two to three years?

Metro Cebu's condominium stock is projected to reach approximately 93,100 units by 2026, with developers completing an average of 5,000 to 6,800 new condo units annually from 2024 through 2026.

Major developments contributing to this pipeline include projects like Mandtra Residences and several multi-tower complexes scheduled for turnover from late 2025 through 2027. These projects are concentrated in established business districts and emerging growth areas where demand remains strong.

Commercial and mixed-use developments are also expanding significantly, particularly in key hubs like Cebu IT Park, Cebu Business Park, and Mactan Island. The growth is primarily driven by sustained demand from BPO companies requiring modern office spaces and tourism-related businesses needing hospitality facilities.

This supply increase is well-matched with demand projections, ensuring the market maintains healthy absorption rates without oversupply concerns. The strategic location of these new developments near employment centers and infrastructure improvements supports their marketability.

What are the current rental yields in key Cebu areas and how do they compare nationally?

Location Property Type Monthly Rent Range Rental Yield
Cebu IT Park 2BR Condo ₱50,000 - ₱70,000 7-8%
Lahug 1BR Condo ₱30,000 - ₱45,000 6-7%
Mactan 2BR Condo ₱40,000 - ₱60,000 6-8%
Cebu Business Park Studio/1BR ₱25,000 - ₱40,000 7-8%
Banilad 2BR Condo ₱35,000 - ₱50,000 6-7%
Ayala Center Cebu 1BR Condo ₱35,000 - ₱50,000 7-8%
Capitol Site Studio ₱18,000 - ₱28,000 6-7%

How have property transactions in Cebu changed over the past two years?

Property transactions in Cebu have shown consistent quarter-over-quarter growth since 2023, marking a strong recovery from pandemic-related declines.

The market experienced significant improvement following the reopening of economic activities, with transaction volumes returning to pre-pandemic levels by mid-2023. Growth spikes typically correspond with launches of major new developments and progress announcements for key infrastructure projects.

Quarterly data indicates sustained buyer interest across both local purchasers and overseas Filipino workers, with particular strength in the pre-selling condominium segment. The residential market has outpaced commercial transactions, though office space deals have also recovered substantially.

Local brokerages report increased activity from both end-users and investors, suggesting healthy market fundamentals rather than speculative buying. This transaction growth supports the continued price appreciation observed across different property segments.

What are the current vacancy rates for residential and office spaces in Cebu?

Vacancy rates in prime Cebu locations remain exceptionally low, with the best areas near full occupancy due to sustained demand from BPO companies and tourism-related businesses.

Office spaces in established business districts like Cebu IT Park and Cebu Business Park maintain vacancy rates below 5%, reflecting strong corporate demand and limited available premium inventory. Newer office developments are achieving high pre-leasing rates even before completion.

Residential vacancy rates have trended consistently downward since the pandemic spike in 2020, as economic activity and population growth rebounded strongly. Well-located condominium projects typically achieve occupancy rates above 90% within their first year of operations.

The tight vacancy situation in prime locations supports continued rental rate growth and validates developer confidence in bringing new supply to market. Areas with direct access to business districts or major transportation links show the strongest occupancy performance.

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What are the current mortgage interest rates in Cebu and how do they compare to 2024?

Current average mortgage interest rates in Cebu range from 7-8% per annum as of September 2025, representing an increase from the previous year's average of 6.5-7%.

This upward adjustment follows national interest rate changes implemented by major Philippine banks in response to monetary policy shifts. The rates are broadly aligned with offerings from leading financial institutions serving urban property buyers across the country.

Despite the increase, these rates remain competitive within the Southeast Asian context and continue to support property purchases for qualified borrowers. Banks maintain relatively accessible lending criteria for properties in established Cebu developments with strong market fundamentals.

Fixed-rate options are available for buyers seeking payment predictability, while variable rates may offer initial advantages depending on individual financial circumstances and market timing preferences.

What major infrastructure projects are ongoing or planned in Cebu?

Cebu benefits from an extensive pipeline of infrastructure improvements spanning roads, bridges, airport facilities, and port upgrades with completion timelines extending through 2028.

Major road projects include the Mandaue Coastal Road expansion and various arterial improvements designed to reduce traffic congestion and improve connectivity between business districts and residential areas. These transportation enhancements directly support property values in affected corridors.

The Cebu-Cordova Link Expressway represents one of the most significant bridge projects, improving access between Cebu City and Mactan Island where numerous residential and tourism developments are located. Airport expansion projects at Mactan-Cebu International Airport will enhance the region's connectivity for both business and leisure travelers.

Port upgrades and new terminal facilities support the city's role as a regional logistics hub, creating additional employment opportunities that drive housing demand. The sustained urban investment reflected in these projects underpins long-term property market growth expectations.

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What percentage of property buyers in Cebu are OFWs or foreign investors?

Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) represent 30-40% of buyers in many condominium projects throughout Cebu, making them a crucial market segment for developers.

This substantial OFW participation reflects Cebu's appeal as an investment destination for Filipinos working abroad who seek to build wealth through property ownership in a familiar cultural environment. Many OFW buyers purchase units for rental income while abroad, then plan to use them personally upon return to the Philippines.

Foreign investor participation has increased slightly, particularly in the luxury and pre-selling condominium segments where international buyers can legally own units. These investors are attracted by the combination of English-speaking business environment, growing economy, and relatively affordable property prices compared to other regional markets.

The strong OFW buying presence provides market stability since these purchasers typically hold properties long-term rather than engaging in short-term speculation. This buyer profile supports sustained demand and helps maintain price appreciation trends.

infographics rental yields citiesCebu

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in the Philippines versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

How do Cebu property price increases compare with Metro Manila and Davao?

Cebu's property price increases of approximately 5-7% annually over the past five years position the city as highly competitive with Davao while maintaining greater stability than Metro Manila's more volatile market cycles.

Metro Manila experiences higher peak appreciation during strong market cycles but also shows greater susceptibility to downturns and speculative pressure. Cebu's more measured growth pattern appeals to investors seeking steady appreciation without extreme volatility.

Davao shows similar growth patterns to Cebu, but Cebu maintains advantages in terms of established infrastructure, larger BPO sector presence, and greater international connectivity. These factors support Cebu's continued outperformance relative to other secondary Philippine cities.

The consistency of Cebu's appreciation trend makes it an attractive alternative for investors seeking exposure to Philippine property growth without the premium pricing or volatility associated with Metro Manila markets.

What is the projected population growth and urban migration rate for Cebu City?

Cebu City's projected population growth rate stands at 1.5-1.7% annually over the next decade, supported by significant ongoing urban migration driven by employment opportunities and infrastructure development.

The city continues attracting residents from across the Visayas and Mindanao regions due to its role as the primary economic center outside Metro Manila. BPO sector expansion, tourism industry growth, and manufacturing development create diverse employment opportunities that support sustained in-migration.

Urban migration patterns show particular strength among young professionals and skilled workers drawn by career opportunities in the technology, finance, and hospitality sectors. This demographic profile creates strong demand for modern housing options, particularly condominiums near business districts.

The combination of natural population growth and continued migration ensures robust housing demand that supports both residential development activity and property value appreciation across Metro Cebu.

How much new demand is expected from BPO companies and tourism developments?

BPO sector expansion remains a fundamental driver of Cebu's office and residential property demand, with continued growth expected for at least the next five years as companies establish or expand operations.

The sector's employment growth creates direct demand for modern office spaces and generates housing demand from workers seeking convenient residential locations. Many BPO employees prefer condominium living due to proximity to work locations and modern amenities that support their lifestyle preferences.

Tourism-related developments in Mactan and resort zones contribute additional demand for both hospitality properties and supporting residential units for industry workers. The recovery and expansion of international tourism supports this sector's continued growth trajectory.

Combined BPO and tourism demand provides diversified economic support for Cebu's property market, reducing dependence on any single industry while ensuring sustained growth in both commercial and residential segments.

It's something we develop in our Philippines property pack.

What do leading analysts forecast for Cebu property prices and rental rates over the next 12-24 months?

Leading developers and property analysts forecast continued upward movement in both Cebu property prices and rental rates over the next 12-24 months, sustained by robust demand fundamentals, population growth, and ongoing infrastructure investment.

Price appreciation is expected to maintain current trends of 4-6% annually for residential properties, with premium locations potentially seeing higher gains due to limited supply and strong buyer interest. The combination of local demand and OFW investment provides a stable foundation for continued growth.

Rental yields are projected to remain stable in the 6-8% range or show slight improvement, particularly for well-located and newly completed properties that can command premium rents from quality tenants. The tight vacancy environment supports landlord pricing power in prime locations.

Market analysts emphasize that Cebu's growth trajectory benefits from diversified economic drivers rather than dependence on speculative investment, suggesting sustainable appreciation patterns that support both end-user purchases and investment strategies. This forecast reliability makes Cebu an attractive option for property buyers seeking predictable returns.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. Cebu Price Forecasts - BambooRoutes
  2. Cebu Property 2025 Market Trends - Cebu Grand Realty
  3. Cebu Real Estate Prices 2025 - 3D Universal
  4. Average Land Price per SQM Philippines - BambooRoutes
  5. Cebu Condos to Reach Over 87,000 Units - SunStar
  6. Mandtra Residences - Cebu Premier Real Estate
  7. Philippines Price History - Global Property Guide
  8. Cebu Condominiums for Sale - MyHouse