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What is the real estate market forecast in Brisbane?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Australia Property Pack

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Yes, the analysis of Brisbane's property market is included in our pack

Brisbane's property market continues to show strong growth momentum as we reach mid-2025, with unit prices outperforming houses and affordable suburbs leading the charge. Property prices are rising steadily with median house values exceeding $1 million and units demonstrating exceptional annual growth of 11.8%, driven by tight supply, strong population growth, and upcoming infrastructure developments including the 2032 Olympics.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Australia, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At BambooRoutes, we explore the Australian real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Brisbane, Melbourne, and Sydney. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What are property prices in Brisbane doing right now—are they going up or down?

Brisbane property prices are definitively rising as of June 2025, though the growth pace has moderated from the explosive increases seen in 2021-2023.

The overall dwelling market posted a 0.6% increase in May 2025, with quarterly growth of 1.6% and annual growth reaching 7.1%. Houses have achieved median values just over $1 million with annual growth of 6.2%, while units are significantly outperforming with impressive annual growth of 11.8% and median prices of $709,823.

The market experienced a brief correction in early 2025, with house prices dipping 0.3% in the March quarter, but this was quickly reversed as buyer demand remained robust. Units have shown particular strength due to affordability constraints pushing buyers toward more accessible price points. The lower quartile suburbs are demonstrating the strongest momentum, with some areas recording up to 14% annual value growth compared to just 4.8% for upper quartile properties.

Current market conditions show properties selling quickly with multiple offers, particularly in desirable inner and middle-ring suburbs where supply remains constrained.

As of June 2025, the trajectory is clearly upward with sustained buyer interest despite affordability challenges affecting some market segments.

How do short-term forecasts compare to medium-term and long-term projections for Brisbane's market?

Brisbane's property market forecasts show increasingly positive prospects across all timeframes, with infrastructure developments and population growth driving optimism.

Short-term forecasts for the next 6-12 months predict continued moderate growth, especially for units and affordable houses. Buyer demand remains strong in lower price brackets, though affordability constraints are beginning to impact some segments. Recent interest rate cuts are expected to boost buyer confidence further, supporting steady price increases through late 2025 and early 2026.

Medium-term projections for 1-3 years are particularly optimistic, with continued population growth, major infrastructure investments, and the approaching 2032 Olympics expected to drive steady price increases. Inner and middle-ring suburbs are forecast to benefit most from these developments, with infrastructure projects like Cross River Rail and Brisbane Metro enhancing connectivity and property values. Market analysts expect Brisbane to maintain its growth trajectory as supply constraints persist and demand remains robust.

Long-term forecasts for 3+ years suggest Brisbane will outperform most other Australian capital cities over the next decade. The city's fundamental strengths including population growth, infrastructure development, lifestyle appeal, and Olympic legacy effects are expected to support sustained property value appreciation. Some analysts predict Brisbane could become Australia's strongest performing capital city property market through the 2030s.

The consensus across all timeframes is positive, with short-term stability building into medium-term acceleration and long-term outperformance.

Which suburbs or regions in Brisbane are showing the fastest growth or decline in prices?

Suburb/Region Property Type Growth Rate
Logan Central Houses +7.8% (3 months)
Bethania Units +19.4% (1 quarter)
Outer Suburbs (Logan-Beaudesert) Mixed +10-14% (annual)
Lower Quartile Suburbs Mixed +14% (annual)
Paddington, Ashgrove, Red Hill Houses +8-12% (annual)
Woolloongabba Mixed +9% (Olympic uplift)
Expensive Inner Suburbs Houses -2% to -5% (recent)

What's the outlook for different property types in Brisbane?

Brisbane's property market shows distinct performance patterns across different property types, with units leading growth due to affordability dynamics.

Houses remain in steady demand, particularly in lifestyle and family-friendly suburbs, but growth has slowed compared to units due to affordability constraints. With median house prices exceeding $1 million, many buyers are priced out of the house market, leading to more selective demand. Family-oriented suburbs with good schools and amenities continue to attract buyers, but growth rates are moderating as price resistance increases.

Units and apartments are experiencing the strongest growth trajectory, driven by affordability pressures and low supply levels. The 11.8% annual growth for units significantly outpaces houses, as buyers seek more accessible entry points into the market. Larger, owner-occupier style units are particularly popular, appealing to downsizers and first-home buyers alike. The unit market benefits from tight rental conditions and strong investor interest.

Townhouses are capturing increasing market share as a middle-ground option, benefiting from the affordability squeeze affecting houses while offering more space than apartments. They're growing in popularity among families and downsizers who want low-maintenance living with some outdoor space.

It's something we develop in our Australia property pack.

How are interest rates, inflation, and lending policies expected to impact Brisbane's real estate market?

Interest rate cuts and stabilizing inflation are creating increasingly favorable conditions for Brisbane's property market through 2025 and beyond.

Recent interest rate reductions have already boosted buyer confidence, with expectations of further cuts supporting market momentum. Lower rates are making borrowing more affordable and increasing buyer purchasing power, though property price appreciation continues to challenge overall affordability. The Reserve Bank's monetary policy stance suggests rates will remain accommodative to support economic growth, benefiting property markets.

Inflation has settled within the Reserve Bank's target range, creating a more stable economic environment that supports property investment and owner-occupier confidence. Stable inflation reduces uncertainty and allows for more predictable long-term planning for both buyers and investors.

Lending policies remain relatively tight compared to pre-2017 standards, but are expected to ease gradually as interest rates fall and economic conditions stabilize. Banks are showing more flexibility in lending standards, and serviceability calculations are improving with lower rates. However, responsible lending obligations continue to ensure borrowers can meet their commitments, maintaining market stability while allowing qualified buyers better access to finance.

The combination of lower rates, stable inflation, and gradually easing lending standards is expected to support sustained demand growth in Brisbane's property market through the medium term.

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What are rental yields looking like across various areas and property types in Brisbane?

Brisbane's rental market delivers strong yields across multiple property types and locations, with vacancy rates below 1% in most suburbs creating favorable conditions for investors.

Houses generate gross rental yields ranging from 3.5% to 5.2%, with higher yields typically found in outer and more affordable suburbs. Premium locations like Newstead achieve exceptional yields of 6.7%, while affordable areas like Russell Island (5.4%), Macleay Island (5.3%), and Eagleby (4.9%) offer solid returns for investors seeking steady rental income.

Units and apartments provide superior yield performance, ranging from 4.5% to 6.4% across Brisbane. The best performing unit markets include Meadowbrook (6.4%), Spring Hill (6.3%), Logan Central (6.2%), and Woodridge (6.2%). These areas combine affordable purchase prices with strong rental demand, particularly from students, young professionals, and downsizers.

The rental market remains extremely tight across Brisbane, with vacancy rates at or below 1% in many suburbs, supporting both current yields and future rental growth prospects. This supply-demand imbalance continues to drive rental price increases, enhancing total returns for property investors.

Investors should target areas with strong employment growth, transport connectivity, and demographic trends to maximize both yield and capital growth potential in Brisbane's competitive rental market.

What's the current demand vs supply balance in Brisbane?

Brisbane's property market continues to experience significant supply shortages relative to demand, creating ongoing upward pressure on both purchase prices and rental rates.

Current market conditions show demand consistently outstripping supply, especially in desirable inner and middle-ring suburbs where buyers compete aggressively for limited stock. Properties are selling quickly with multiple offers becoming standard, and many quality listings receive offers within days of coming to market. The low listing volumes reflect both seller reluctance to move in a rising market and the tight availability of suitable replacement properties.

Construction activity and new dwelling approvals remain below demand requirements, with building industry challenges including labor shortages, material costs, and approval delays constraining new supply delivery. The development pipeline shows some improvement planned, but not enough to significantly alter the supply-demand imbalance in the short to medium term.

Future supply outlook suggests continued constraints through 2025 and 2026, with gradual improvement expected as building activity increases and major infrastructure projects reach completion. However, population growth and the approach of the 2032 Olympics are likely to maintain strong demand levels, keeping the market in a supply-deficit position for several years.

Investors and owner-occupiers should expect competitive buying conditions to persist, with well-located properties continuing to attract premium pricing due to scarcity value.

Are there any major infrastructure projects or zoning changes that could impact future value in specific Brisbane areas?

Brisbane is experiencing a major infrastructure transformation that will significantly impact property values across multiple corridors and precincts through the late 2020s.

  • Cross River Rail opening in 2025 will dramatically improve connectivity between Brisbane's north and south, with new stations at Woolloongabba, Boggo Road, Exhibition, and Albert Street creating property value uplift in surrounding areas
  • Brisbane Metro rollout through 2024-2025 enhances rapid transit between the CBD and key suburban centers, benefiting properties along the dedicated busway corridors
  • Queen's Wharf and Dexus Waterfront Brisbane developments are creating major riverfront entertainment, hotel, and retail precincts that will enhance nearby residential values
  • Green Bridge projects are improving walkability and connectivity across Brisbane's inner areas, making previously disconnected neighborhoods more accessible and desirable
  • 2032 Olympics infrastructure planning is already driving property interest in Woolloongabba and surrounding precincts, with long-term legacy benefits expected for the broader Brisbane south area

These infrastructure investments are creating distinct value corridors throughout Brisbane, with properties near transport nodes and major developments expected to outperform the broader market. Early positioning in infrastructure-linked areas offers the strongest prospects for capital growth acceleration.

It's something we develop in our Australia property pack.

infographics rental yields citiesBrisbane

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Australia versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

If I want to buy to live in Brisbane, which neighborhoods offer the best mix of value, lifestyle, and future appreciation?

Brisbane offers excellent lifestyle suburbs that combine current amenities with strong growth prospects, making them ideal for owner-occupiers seeking long-term value.

  • Coorparoo, Greenslopes, and Camp Hill provide excellent access to the city with established communities, quality schools, and proximity to major hospitals and universities
  • Mount Gravatt and Chermside West offer family-friendly environments with good schools, shopping centers, and transport links while maintaining more affordable entry points
  • Carina Heights and Oxley combine suburban amenities with convenient access to both the CBD and airport, appealing to professionals and families
  • Wynnum provides a unique coastal lifestyle within Brisbane's boundaries, offering beaches, cafes, and a village atmosphere with improving transport connections
  • Inner suburbs like Newstead, Milton, Kelvin Grove, and South Brisbane offer apartment living with excellent amenities, walkability, and proximity to employment centers

These neighborhoods balance current lifestyle benefits with infrastructure development, demographic trends, and zoning changes that support future property value appreciation. They offer established amenities including quality schools, parks, shopping, and transport while benefiting from Brisbane's overall growth trajectory.

Owner-occupiers should prioritize areas with strong community feel, established infrastructure, and planned improvements that will enhance liveability and property values over the medium to long term.

If I want to invest for rental income, what property type and location should I target right now for the best returns?

Location Property Type Expected Yield
Spring Hill Units 6.3%
Meadowbrook Units 6.4%
Logan Central Units 6.2%
Caboolture Units 5.8%
Newstead Houses 6.7%
Russell Island Houses 5.4%
Eagleby Houses 4.9%

If I want to buy, renovate, and resell, which areas are most promising for capital gains in the short term?

Brisbane's gentrifying suburbs offer the strongest prospects for renovation and resale strategies, with several areas showing rapid value appreciation and buyer demand growth.

Stafford Heights, Ashgrove, and Annerley are experiencing significant demographic shifts with young professionals and families moving in, driving demand for renovated properties that offer modern amenities in established locations. These suburbs benefit from proximity to the city while maintaining character housing stock suitable for value-adding renovations.

Woolloongabba stands out as a premium opportunity due to Olympic infrastructure development and Cross River Rail connectivity, creating strong capital growth prospects for well-executed renovation projects. The area is transitioning from industrial to residential and mixed-use, attracting buyers seeking inner-city lifestyle with transport convenience.

Upper Mount Gravatt, Nundah, Carina, and Mitchelton offer excellent renovation opportunities with established infrastructure, good transport links, and growing buyer interest from families and young professionals. These suburbs have character housing stock at accessible price points with strong potential for value-adding through smart renovations.

Cannon Hill benefits from riverside location and proximity to employment centers, making it attractive for buyers seeking lifestyle properties with renovation potential and strong resale prospects.

Successful renovation strategies should focus on modernizing kitchens and bathrooms, improving energy efficiency, and enhancing outdoor living spaces to meet current buyer preferences in Brisbane's competitive market.

What's the recommended budget range and financing strategy to stay competitive in Brisbane's current market?

Brisbane's competitive market requires strategic budget planning and pre-approved financing to secure properties in the current environment.

Entry-level house budgets should range from $700,000 to $1.2 million in middle and outer ring suburbs, with higher amounts needed for premium locations. Units and townhouses offer more accessible entry points from $400,000 to $800,000 in growth areas, making them attractive for first-time buyers and investors. Premium lifestyle suburbs require budgets from $1.2 million to $3 million or more, depending on specific location and property quality.

Financing strategy should prioritize pre-approval and quick settlement capability, as competition remains intense with multiple offers common on desirable properties. Consider fixed-rate options for certainty in the current environment, though variable rates may become more attractive as interest rates continue to fall through 2025 and 2026.

Working with experienced mortgage brokers can maximize borrowing capacity and structure loans appropriately for investment or owner-occupier goals. Consider offset accounts and redraw facilities for flexibility, and structure loans to optimize tax benefits for investment properties.

Maintain cash reserves for competitive bidding and quick settlement requirements, as sellers often favor buyers who can move quickly without finance conditions. Budget for additional costs including building inspections, legal fees, and stamp duty when calculating total acquisition costs.

It's something we develop in our Australia property pack.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. Metropole - Brisbane Housing Market Update
  2. Real Estate Business - Brisbane Property Market Update May 2025
  3. Property Update - What's Ahead Brisbane's Property Market
  4. Domain - House Price Report March 2025
  5. Smart Property Investment - Brisbane Property Market Update February 2025
  6. Capex Property - Brisbane Property Market Forecast Into 2025
  7. Australian Property Update - Brisbane's Best and Worst Performing Suburbs
  8. OpenAgent - Suburbs with Highest Rental Yield Australia