Buying real estate in Thailand?

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How is the property market forecast in Thailand?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Thailand Property Pack

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Thailand's property market shows steady growth with Bangkok condos averaging THB 140,000-150,000 per sqm and annual price increases of 3-7%.

As of September 2025, the Thai property market demonstrates strong fundamentals with Bangkok leading price growth, while Chiang Mai and Phuket offer attractive yields for investors. Foreign buyers represent 12-18% of transactions nationwide, with new supply meeting demand through 45,000-55,000 planned condo units in 2025.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Thailand, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created ๐Ÿ”Ž๐Ÿ“

At BambooRoutes, we explore the Thai real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distanceโ€”we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Bangkok, Chiang Mai, and Phuket. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

photo of expert attaya suriyawonghae

Fact-checked and reviewed by our local expert

โœ“โœ“โœ“

Attaya Suriyawonghae ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ

Real Estate Broker, Zest Real Estate

As a Thai Real Estate Broker based in Phuket, Attaya possesses deep knowledge of the Thai market. Her insider perspective and local connections provide invaluable insights for property investors who want to make their dream come true in the Land of Smiles. Speaking with her allowed us to go back to the blog post, improve a few elements, and include her personal insights for a richer experience.

What's the current average price per square meter for condominiums and houses in Bangkok compared to other major Thai cities?

Bangkok condos average THB 140,000-150,000 per square meter as of September 2025, with prime CBD areas reaching THB 200,000-236,000 per sqm.

City Condos (THB/sqm) Houses (THB/sqm)
Bangkok 140,000-150,000 64,000-135,000
Chiang Mai 60,000-80,000 42,969
Phuket 144,000 (median) 70,000 (villas)
Pattaya 100,000-120,000 60,000+

How have property prices in Thailand changed over the last five years, and what are the year-on-year growth rates?

Thai property prices have shown consistent upward growth over the past five years, with most major cities recording positive annual increases.

Bangkok and resort city condos have grown at 3.4-7% year-on-year since 2020, with luxury and branded developments sometimes exceeding 8% annually. Chiang Mai experienced significant price jumps, with average condo prices rising from THB 60,880 in 2023-24 to THB 76,751 in 2025, reflecting annual increases of 13-20% for prime new projects in certain segments.

Phuket property prices have maintained steady growth, averaging 5-10% per annum across the condominium sector since 2020, consistently outpacing the national average. This growth has been driven by strong international demand and limited land supply in prime beachfront locations.

The overall trend shows Thailand's property market has been resilient, with prime segments consistently outperforming secondary markets across all major cities.

What is the forecasted annual price growth rate for residential and commercial properties in the next three to five years?

The Thailand residential property market is forecasted to grow 3-6% annually through 2028, with premium developments in Bangkok and Phuket potentially exceeding 7%.

Residential property price growth in major urban areas is expected to maintain steady momentum at 3-6% per year, driven by continued urbanization and infrastructure development. Top-tier Bangkok projects and prime Phuket beachfront developments are likely to see higher growth rates of up to 7% annually due to limited supply and strong international demand.

Commercial property growth is projected to be more moderate at 2-4% per year, reflecting macroeconomic uncertainties and new supply coming online in business districts. Office and retail spaces in secondary locations may experience slower growth due to changing work patterns and e-commerce expansion.

It's something we develop in our Thailand property pack.

How many new housing units and condominium projects are expected to be launched nationwide in 2025?

Industry expectations project 45,000-55,000 new condominium units nationwide in 2025, representing a slight increase from 2024 figures.

This increase is driven by renewed developer confidence following infrastructure investments and improved market sentiment. The strongest growth in new launches is concentrated in Bangkok suburbs, Phuket resort areas, and Eastern Economic Corridor zones where government investment is creating new demand centers.

New housing estate launches are expected to reach 35,000-40,000 units across metropolitan areas, maintaining consistency with last year's levels. Developers are focusing on mid-market segments and affordable housing to capture broader domestic demand.

The supply pipeline indicates healthy market conditions without oversupply concerns, as new launches are calibrated to meet demonstrated demand in each market segment.

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What is the current rental yield in key urban areas like Bangkok, Chiang Mai, and Phuket, and how does it compare with regional benchmarks?

Thai property rental yields remain competitive compared to regional markets, with Phuket offering the highest returns at 5-6.5% gross annually.

Bangkok prime condo yields range from 4.0-5.0% gross, while mid-market areas can reach 5.5%. Chiang Mai typical yields span 4.5-5.5% gross, with well-located short-term rental units achieving higher returns. Phuket yields average 5-6.5%, with branded beachfront projects commanding the highest returns due to premium rental rates.

Compared to regional benchmarks, Thailand offers superior returns. Singapore condo gross yields average only 2.5-3.2%, while Malaysia yields range 4.0-5.2%. This makes Thailand particularly attractive for yield-focused investors seeking consistent rental income.

The yield advantage is most pronounced in resort destinations where short-term rental demand from tourists supplements traditional long-term rental markets.

How many foreign buyers are currently investing in Thai property each year, and what percentage of total transactions do they represent?

Foreign buyers account for approximately 12-18% of total condominium transactions nationwide each year, with higher concentrations in resort markets.

In resort areas like Phuket and Pattaya, foreign buyer share can reach up to 30% of total transactions, reflecting the strong appeal of these destinations for international property investors. The 2024-2025 period saw foreign buyer volumes rebound significantly, especially in premium markets and new launches specifically targeting international investors.

Chinese, European, and Middle Eastern buyers represent the largest foreign investor groups, with increasing interest from American and Australian investors following improved travel connectivity and currency advantages.

This foreign demand provides crucial market stability and premium pricing support, particularly for developments with international marketing and management standards.

What is the expected impact of Thailand's GDP growth rate, inflation rate, and interest rate policies on property demand over the next two years?

Thailand's economic fundamentals are expected to support steady property demand growth through 2026-2027, with GDP growth projected at 3-4% annually.

The Bank of Thailand's interest rate policy remains accommodative, with rates expected to stay relatively stable to support economic recovery and property market liquidity. This creates favorable borrowing conditions for both domestic and qualified foreign buyers seeking financing options.

Inflation rates are projected to remain within the central bank's target range of 1-3%, supporting real purchasing power and property investment attractiveness. Currency stability against major international currencies enhances Thailand's appeal to foreign property investors.

GDP growth concentrated in services and tourism sectors directly benefits resort property markets, while infrastructure spending supports urban residential demand in Bangkok and surrounding provinces.

How do mortgage approval rates and average loan-to-value ratios currently stand, and how are banks adjusting their lending criteria?

Thai banks maintain mortgage approval rates of approximately 70-80% for qualified domestic borrowers, with loan-to-value ratios typically capped at 90-95% for first-time buyers.

Banks have adjusted lending criteria to emphasize debt-to-income ratios and employment stability following economic uncertainties. Foreign buyers can access financing through Thai banks with loan-to-value ratios typically limited to 70-80%, subject to income verification and legal residency status.

Interest rates for property loans currently range from 4.5-6.5% annually, depending on borrower profile and property type. Banks are showing increased preference for financing branded developments and properties in established locations with proven rental potential.

Lending criteria have become more stringent for speculative purchases, while owner-occupied and investment properties with clear rental prospects receive more favorable treatment from financial institutions.

infographics rental yields citiesThailand

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Thailand versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

What is the current occupancy rate for condominiums in Bangkok and major resort cities, and how does that trend project into the next three years?

Bangkok condominium occupancy rates currently average 85-90% in prime locations, with resort cities like Phuket maintaining 80-85% occupancy despite seasonal variations.

Prime Bangkok districts including Sukhumvit, Silom, and Sathorn maintain the highest occupancy rates due to proximity to business centers and transportation links. Mid-market areas show occupancy rates of 75-85%, while outer suburban developments may experience 65-75% occupancy rates.

Phuket and Pattaya resort condos show seasonal occupancy patterns, with peak periods reaching 90-95% during high tourist seasons and dropping to 70-80% during low seasons. Chiang Mai maintains steady 80-85% occupancy driven by both residential and short-term rental demand.

The three-year outlook projects stable or improving occupancy rates, supported by continued urbanization, tourism recovery, and infrastructure development attracting more residents and visitors to these markets.

How are infrastructure projects like new mass transit lines, airports, and highways expected to affect property values in their surrounding areas?

Major infrastructure projects are expected to generate 10-25% property value increases in surrounding areas within 2-3 years of completion.

1. **Bangkok Mass Transit Expansion**: New BTS and MRT lines create immediate property value uplift of 15-25% within 500 meters of stations, with sustained long-term growth as connectivity improves.2. **Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC) Development**: Highway improvements and industrial development are driving property values up 20-30% in Chonburi, Rayong, and Chachoengsao provinces.3. **Phuket Airport Expansion**: Enhanced international connectivity is boosting resort property values by 10-20%, particularly affecting luxury villa and condo segments.4. **High-Speed Rail Projects**: Planned connections between Bangkok and major cities will create new investment corridors with expected property appreciation of 15-30%.5. **Port and Logistics Infrastructure**: New deep-sea ports and logistics hubs generate commercial and residential property demand in surrounding areas.

It's something we develop in our Thailand property pack.

What government policies, such as foreign ownership limits or property tax changes, are being proposed or implemented that could shift the market outlook?

Current government policies maintain the 49% foreign ownership limit for condominiums, with no immediate changes proposed that would significantly alter market dynamics.

The Land and Building Tax Act continues to implement progressive property taxation, with rates ranging from 0.02-0.7% annually based on property value and usage. This creates mild pressure on speculative holding but minimal impact on genuine investors and owner-occupiers.

Proposed changes include streamlined foreign investment procedures and enhanced legal protections for international property buyers, particularly in designated economic zones. The government is also considering tax incentives for sustainable and energy-efficient building developments.

Long-term lease reforms allowing 99-year renewable leases for foreigners in certain areas are under discussion, which could expand foreign investment opportunities beyond the current condominium-focused market structure.

What are the main risks identified by analysts for the Thai property market in the next five years?

Market analysts identify oversupply in mid-market Bangkok condos and rising construction costs as the primary risks facing Thailand's property market through 2030.

1. **Oversupply Concerns**: Mid-market Bangkok condo segments show signs of oversupply, with new launches potentially exceeding demand by 10-15% annually.2. **Construction Cost Inflation**: Material and labor costs have increased 15-25% since 2022, pressuring developer margins and potentially reducing new supply.3. **Interest Rate Volatility**: Global monetary policy changes could affect Thai interest rates, impacting affordability and investment returns.4. **Demographic Shifts**: Aging population and declining birth rates may reduce long-term residential demand in certain segments.5. **Tourism Dependency**: Resort markets remain vulnerable to global travel disruptions and changing tourism patterns.

Despite these risks, the market's fundamentals remain strong with diverse demand sources and government support for key sectors continuing to provide stability for well-positioned properties.

It's something we develop in our Thailand property pack.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. Bangkok Condo Price Analysis
  2. Chiang Mai Price Forecasts
  3. Phuket Property Market Update Report
  4. Phuket Condo Price Guide
  5. Chiang Mai Property Listings
  6. Bangkok Condo Market Outlook
  7. Thailand Investment Analysis 2025
  8. Thailand Property Price History