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What's the property market outlook in Adelaide?

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Adelaide's property market continues to demonstrate exceptional strength as of September 2025, with median prices reaching record highs and growth significantly outpacing the national average. The city has emerged as one of Australia's most resilient property investment destinations, driven by strong population growth, limited housing supply, and robust economic fundamentals that position it favorably for continued appreciation.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Australia, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At BambooRoutes, we explore the Adelaide real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Adelaide, Melbourne, and Perth. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What are the current median house and unit prices in Adelaide right now?

Adelaide's median property prices have reached record levels as of September 2025, reflecting the city's position as one of Australia's strongest performing property markets.

The median house price in Adelaide currently stands at $895,726, representing a significant milestone for the South Australian capital. This figure reflects strong buyer demand and limited housing supply that has characterized the Adelaide market throughout 2025. For units, the median price is $611,471, offering a more affordable entry point while still delivering substantial returns for investors.

These prices position Adelaide as the fourth-highest capital city market in Australia, behind Sydney, Brisbane, and Canberra, but ahead of Perth and Melbourne. The city has experienced remarkable price appreciation, with values increasing by 73.4% over the past five years and 93.6% over the past decade. This consistent upward trajectory demonstrates Adelaide's emergence from a historically lower-growth market to one of the nation's premier property investment destinations.

Properties in the Adelaide CBD command premium prices, with houses averaging $900,000 and units around $505,000. However, the outer suburbs and coastal areas provide more affordable options, with house prices typically ranging from $600,000 to $750,000 depending on location and proximity to amenities.

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How much have Adelaide property prices changed in the past 12 months compared to the national average?

Adelaide has delivered exceptional property price growth over the past 12 months, significantly outperforming the national average and establishing itself as the second-best performing capital city market in Australia.

Property values in Adelaide have increased between 7.0% and 11.1% over the past 12 months, with most sources reporting growth in the 8.6% to 9.8% range. This performance places Adelaide well above the national average, which has been considerably lower during the same period. The city's growth rate has consistently exceeded that of Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane, positioning it as a standout performer in the Australian property landscape.

Houses have experienced annual growth of 6.8% to 11.1%, while units have performed even stronger with growth rates of 8.5% to 12.5%. The combined dwelling value growth of 8.6% represents one of the strongest performances among all capital cities, trailing only Perth which recorded 14.3% growth. This outperformance is particularly notable given that Adelaide was historically considered a slower-growth market compared to the eastern capital cities.

The strong price appreciation reflects fundamental supply-demand imbalances in the Adelaide market. Property listings remain 33.9% below their five-year average, creating the largest supply shortage of any capital city. This scarcity, combined with continued population growth and economic diversification, has supported sustained price increases even as other markets have begun to moderate.

What are the current rental yields across different suburbs in Adelaide?

Adelaide's rental yields vary significantly across different suburbs, with investors able to achieve returns ranging from 3.3% to 5.9% depending on location and property type.

Suburb/Area Property Type Rental Yield Median Rent (Weekly) Growth Potential
Elizabeth Downs Houses 5.6% $455 High
Elizabeth Vale Units 6.6% $350 High
Munno Para West Houses 4.9% $527 Very High
Paralowie Houses 4.0% $545 High
CBD Adelaide Houses 3.3% $620 Moderate
CBD Adelaide Units 5.9% $600 Strong
Walkerville Units 6.3% $535 Moderate

How tight is the rental vacancy rate in Adelaide, and is it trending up or down?

Adelaide's rental market remains extremely tight as of September 2025, with vacancy rates at historically low levels that continue to favor landlords and support rental growth.

The current vacancy rate sits at 0.8%, representing a slight increase from the previous year's 0.6% but still well below the 2-3% range considered balanced. This low vacancy rate indicates severe rental market tightness, with limited options available for tenants and strong competition for available properties. Nearly half of Adelaide's suburbs maintain vacancy rates below 1%, demonstrating the widespread nature of the rental shortage across the metropolitan area.

The trend is gradually loosening due to increased investor activity in recent years, but the improvement remains marginal. The rental market continues to strongly favor landlords, with properties typically renting quickly and experiencing regular rent increases. Annual rental growth for houses has been 4.3%, while units have experienced more substantial increases of 7.3% to 9%, reflecting the growing appeal of unit living among renters seeking affordable options.

This tight rental market is expected to persist through 2025 and into 2026, supported by continued population growth and limited new rental stock coming online. The combination of low vacancy rates and steady rental growth makes Adelaide an attractive destination for investors seeking reliable cash flow returns.

What are the latest population growth figures for Adelaide, and where are new residents moving?

Adelaide is experiencing robust population growth that continues to drive property demand across multiple suburbs and demographic segments.

The Adelaide CBD alone has seen population growth of 20.4% between 2016 and 2021, with numbers rising from 15,115 to 18,202 residents. This growth is primarily concentrated among young professionals aged 20-29, who represent the predominant age group in the city center. These residents are typically childless couples with strong earning capacity, contributing to sustained rental demand and property price appreciation.

New residents are gravitating toward several key areas. The northern suburbs, including suburbs like Paralowie, Angle Vale, and Munno Para West, are experiencing significant population influxes due to affordable housing options and infrastructure improvements. The Adelaide Hills are attracting families and remote workers seeking larger properties and lifestyle benefits, supported by improved transport connectivity to the CBD.

Coastal areas like Glenelg, Christies Beach, and West Lakes are drawing both permanent residents and lifestyle migrants attracted by beachside living and tourism opportunities. The areas around Port Adelaide are benefiting from the expansion of the submarine industry in Osborne, creating employment-driven migration. Young professionals are increasingly choosing urban living in areas like the City of Unley and inner suburbs, driving demand for modern apartments and townhouses.

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How many new housing developments or construction projects are currently in the Adelaide pipeline?

Adelaide has an impressive development pipeline worth over $9.12 billion, with more than 30 major projects either planned, approved, or under construction as of September 2025.

The residential construction pipeline includes several significant developments that will add substantial housing stock to the market. The $200 million, 37-storey apartment tower by Auta Group on Grote Street will deliver 285 apartments including six penthouses, due for completion in September 2025. The $106 million Cullinan development on Waymouth Street will add almost 200 new residences across an 18-storey tower, featuring studio to three-bedroom apartments.

The $250 million Eighty-Eight O'Connell development represents one of the largest mixed-use projects, featuring two 13-storey towers, one 15-storey tower, and 160 apartments with four penthouses. This project includes retail and commercial spaces, creating a comprehensive urban precinct. Infrastructure projects supporting residential development include the completion of the T2D Project, the final 10.5km section of Adelaide's North-South Corridor, which will improve connectivity and accessibility.

Office and commercial developments in the pipeline total 95,000 square meters, including a 21,000 square meter office tower at 50 Franklin Street and the 21,700 square meter Market Square Office Tower on Grote Street. These commercial developments will create employment opportunities that support residential demand. The $3.2 billion Women's and Children's Hospital project will generate significant construction employment and long-term healthcare jobs, further supporting housing demand in surrounding areas.

What are the clearance rates at Adelaide property auctions this quarter?

Adelaide's auction market has maintained strong performance through the third quarter of 2025, with clearance rates reflecting robust buyer demand and competitive market conditions.

The most recent data shows Adelaide achieved a 74% auction clearance rate for the week of June 15, 2025, which represents solid buyer participation and competitive bidding activity. This clearance rate compares favorably to other capital cities, with Adelaide outperforming Brisbane and maintaining pace with national averages. The strong clearance rates indicate that properties are attracting multiple bidders and selling at or above reserve prices.

These clearance rates reflect the ongoing supply shortage in Adelaide, with listings remaining 33.9% below their five-year average. Properties are typically selling above price guides and often after just one or two open homes, demonstrating the intensity of buyer competition. The auction environment has been characterized by quick sales and strong results for vendors, with many properties generating significant interest from both owner-occupiers and investors.

The auction success rate supports the broader market dynamics of limited supply meeting strong demand. Real estate agents report that quality properties are attracting multiple offers, and the auction process has become an effective method for vendors to maximize sale prices. This strong auction performance is expected to continue through the remainder of 2025, supported by anticipated interest rate cuts and sustained buyer confidence.

How have interest rate changes specifically affected borrowing power for Adelaide buyers?

Interest rate changes have had a measured impact on Adelaide buyer borrowing capacity, with the market showing resilience despite elevated rates and positioned to benefit from anticipated cuts.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's rate cuts beginning in early 2025 have started to improve borrowing conditions for Adelaide buyers. Banks like Adelaide Bank have reduced their variable loan rates by 0.25% per annum, making home loans more accessible to prospective buyers. However, borrowers in Adelaide may not experience as much increased capacity as those in larger cities due to generally lower wage levels compared to Sydney and Melbourne.

Current cash rates of 4.35% have been manageable for the Adelaide market, which has continued to show growth despite these higher borrowing costs. The market's resilience reflects the relative affordability of Adelaide properties compared to eastern capital cities, allowing buyers to maintain purchasing power even with elevated rates. First-home buyer support programs, including reduced stamp duty incentives, have helped offset some of the impact of higher rates.

Looking ahead, anticipated interest rate cuts are expected to provide additional borrowing capacity relief. ANZ predicts rates falling to 3.60% by August 2025, with further cuts to 2.6% by early 2026. These rate reductions are likely to boost buyer confidence and increase competition in the Adelaide market, particularly benefiting investors seeking good rental yields as mortgage costs decrease.

infographics rental yields citiesAdelaide

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Which Adelaide suburbs are showing the strongest capital growth, and which are stagnating?

Adelaide's suburb performance shows significant variation, with outer northern suburbs and coastal areas leading capital growth while established inner areas experience more moderate appreciation.

The strongest performing suburbs include Munno Para West with 22.5% annual growth, Craigmore at 21.2%, Para Hills with 19% growth, and Largs North achieving 18.4% appreciation. These northern suburbs benefit from affordability, infrastructure improvements, and growing demand from first-home buyers and investors. Coastal suburbs like West Lakes have delivered 24% growth, while Glenelg has experienced 14.4% appreciation driven by lifestyle factors and tourism appeal.

Kilkenny has emerged as a gentrification success story with 32% price increases driven by urban renewal and proximity to the CBD. O'Halloran Hill recorded 21.1% growth, appealing to families seeking affordable options with good connectivity. Christies Beach, featured in expert recommendations for 2025, offers strong capital growth prospects with its coastal location and development potential.

Established inner suburbs are experiencing more moderate but stable growth. Areas like Prospect, Bridgewater, and Aldinga are showing steady appreciation supported by lifestyle factors and infrastructure improvements. The CBD areas are experiencing varied performance, with units showing stronger growth (12.5%) than houses (2.3%) due to affordability factors and demand from young professionals.

Stagnating areas are limited in Adelaide's current market, though some premium inner suburbs have seen growth moderate as prices reach affordability limits. Most suburbs across Greater Adelaide are experiencing positive capital growth, with widespread value increases across both outer and inner metropolitan regions demonstrating the market's broad-based strength.

What infrastructure or government projects are planned that could impact property values in Adelaide?

Adelaide has a substantial infrastructure development pipeline that will significantly enhance connectivity, employment opportunities, and lifestyle amenities across the metropolitan area.

1. **Transport Infrastructure**: The T2D Project represents the final 10.5km section of Adelaide's North-South Corridor, creating a non-stop motorway between Gawler and Old Noarlunga. This $billion+ project will dramatically improve connectivity and reduce travel times across the metropolitan area.2. **Healthcare Infrastructure**: The new $3.2 billion Women's and Children's Hospital at the SAPOL Barracks site will create thousands of construction and ongoing jobs while enhancing the healthcare precinct around Royal Adelaide Hospital.3. **Urban Renewal Projects**: Major streetscape improvements are underway on Hindley Street, Grenfell Street, and Melbourne Street, with the City of Adelaide investing in public realm upgrades to revitalize key commercial areas.4. **Innovation Districts**: A 16-storey innovation hub is planned to foster entrepreneurship and technological advancement, positioning Adelaide as a technology center and creating high-skilled employment opportunities.5. **Airport Expansion**: Upgrades to Adelaide Airport infrastructure support the city's tourism and business connectivity, benefiting surrounding residential areas and enhancing the overall economic appeal.

These projects collectively represent billions in infrastructure investment that will enhance property values across multiple corridors. The transport improvements particularly benefit outer suburbs by reducing commute times, while healthcare and innovation projects create employment nodes that drive residential demand in surrounding areas.

How does Adelaide's affordability index compare with Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane right now?

Adelaide maintains a significant affordability advantage over the major eastern capital cities, though this gap is gradually narrowing due to strong local price growth.

With a median dwelling price of $843,339, Adelaide remains substantially more affordable than Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane. Sydney's median exceeds $1.4 million, while Melbourne and Brisbane both surpass $900,000, making Adelaide approximately 40-60% more affordable than these markets. This affordability advantage has been a key driver of interstate migration and investor interest in the Adelaide market.

However, Adelaide's rapid price appreciation over recent years has eroded some of this affordability advantage. The city's median house price of $895,726 now positions it as the fourth-highest capital city market, having surpassed Perth and approaching Melbourne levels. For units at $611,471, Adelaide offers more accessible entry points compared to eastern capitals where unit prices typically exceed $700,000.

Income-to-price ratios show Adelaide households are primarily repaying $1,800 to $2,399 per month on mortgage repayments, which remains manageable relative to local wage levels. The affordability advantage is most pronounced in outer suburbs, where quality family homes can still be purchased for $600,000-$750,000, compared to equivalent properties exceeding $1.2 million in Sydney or $900,000 in Melbourne.

Despite narrowing affordability gaps, Adelaide continues to offer the best value proposition among major Australian capitals, attracting interstate buyers and investors seeking better returns and lifestyle opportunities at lower price points.

What are experts and major banks forecasting for Adelaide's property market over the next 1–2 years?

Expert forecasts for Adelaide's property market through 2025-2026 predict continued growth at a more moderate pace, with most analysts expecting appreciation in the 4-8% range annually.

Institution/Expert 2025 Forecast 2026 Forecast Key Factors
NAB +5.0% +5.6% Interest rate cuts, strong demand
Westpac +4.0% +6.0% Economic stability, supply constraints
SQM Research +8-13% Moderate growth Economic conditions dependent
KPMG +2.0% +6.0% Affordability constraints
PropTrack Moderate growth Steady appreciation Supply-demand balance improving
Propertyology +5-7% Continued growth Economic diversification, infrastructure
API Magazine Strong growth Sustained appreciation Buyer demand, low supply

What are the latest population growth figures for Adelaide, and where are new residents moving?

Adelaide continues to experience strong population growth driven by both interstate migration and international arrivals, with new residents spreading across established and emerging suburbs.

The Adelaide metropolitan area has seen consistent population increases, with the CBD experiencing 20.4% growth from 15,115 to 18,202 residents between 2016-2021. Young professionals aged 20-29 represent the largest demographic group, typically consisting of childless couples with disposable income for housing. This demographic shift supports both rental demand and property purchases in inner-city areas.

Interstate migration patterns show families and professionals moving from Sydney and Melbourne seeking better affordability and lifestyle balance. These migrants often target northern suburbs like Paralowie, Salisbury, and Angle Vale, where family homes remain accessible below $600,000. The Adelaide Hills are attracting remote workers and lifestyle seekers wanting larger properties and natural surroundings while maintaining city connectivity.

International migration continues through established settlement programs, with new arrivals typically beginning in rental accommodation before transitioning to homeownership. This pattern supports sustained rental demand across affordable suburbs. The growth of the defense industry in Osborne and technology sectors is attracting skilled workers to northern coastal suburbs, while the expanding healthcare and education sectors draw residents to areas near major institutions.

Population distribution shows increasing density in inner suburbs and continued expansion into fringe areas, creating investment opportunities across multiple price points and property types throughout the metropolitan area.

How many new housing developments or construction projects are currently in the Adelaide pipeline?

Adelaide's construction pipeline includes over 30 major projects worth more than $9.12 billion, representing one of the most substantial development programs in the city's history.

Residential developments make up a significant portion of this pipeline. The Eighty-Eight O'Connell development features three towers with 160 apartments and four penthouses, scheduled for mid-2025 completion. The Cullinan development will deliver 192 residential units across studio to three-bedroom configurations. Multiple apartment towers are under construction, including a 39-storey development featuring residential, commercial, and retail spaces that will significantly enhance the urban landscape.

The Festival Tower project represents a $1.3 billion mixed-use development that will become a major component of Adelaide Festival Plaza, featuring commercial spaces and public areas alongside residential components. Infrastructure supporting residential development includes the completion of major transport corridors and utility upgrades necessary for increased density.

Office and commercial developments totaling 95,000 square meters are in various stages of approval and construction, creating employment opportunities that drive residential demand. These include two projects under construction totaling 42,700 square meters and two approved projects totaling 52,300 square meters. The substantial pipeline ensures continued employment growth and economic diversification supporting long-term property demand across Adelaide.

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What are the clearance rates at Adelaide property auctions this quarter?

Adelaide's auction clearance rates have demonstrated consistent strength throughout the third quarter of 2025, reflecting sustained buyer confidence and competitive market conditions.

The latest available data shows Adelaide achieved a 74% clearance rate for the week of June 15, 2025, which represents robust performance relative to other capital cities. This clearance rate indicates strong buyer participation and willingness to compete for available properties through the auction process. Adelaide's performance has consistently outpaced Brisbane and other capitals during recent quarters.

The auction market reflects broader supply-demand dynamics, with limited stock availability creating competitive conditions for quality properties. Agents report properties frequently selling above price guides, often after minimal marketing periods. The average time on market for houses is 35 days and units 39 days, indicating quick sales processes that support strong auction outcomes.

Auction success rates are supported by the fundamental shortage of listings, with total property listings 33.9% below five-year averages. This scarcity creates urgency among buyers and supports clearance rates even in a higher interest rate environment. The combination of limited stock and sustained buyer demand suggests auction clearance rates will remain strong through the remainder of 2025, particularly as interest rate cuts improve buyer borrowing capacity.

How have interest rate changes specifically affected borrowing power for Adelaide buyers?

Interest rate changes have created both challenges and opportunities for Adelaide buyers, with recent cuts beginning to restore borrowing capacity after a period of constraint.

The cash rate environment reaching 4.35% through 2024 and early 2025 reduced borrowing capacity for many Adelaide buyers, particularly affecting first-home buyers and those with lower incomes. However, Adelaide buyers have shown greater resilience compared to markets like Sydney and Melbourne due to the relative affordability of local properties. Lower property prices mean interest rate impacts are less severe in absolute dollar terms.

Recent interest rate cuts have begun improving borrowing conditions, with further cuts anticipated through 2025-2026. ANZ forecasts rates falling to 3.60% by August 2025, followed by additional reductions to 2.6% by early 2026. These cuts are expected to increase borrowing capacity by approximately 10-15% for typical Adelaide buyers, supporting continued market activity.

Government support programs have helped offset rate impacts, including expanded first-home buyer guarantees allowing 5% deposits without mortgage insurance from October 2025. Adelaide Bank and other local lenders have introduced competitive rate products specifically for Adelaide buyers. The combination of rate relief and government support is positioning Adelaide buyers to benefit significantly from improving borrowing conditions over the next 12-24 months.

Investors seeking good rental yields are particularly well-positioned to benefit from lower mortgage costs, as Adelaide's strong rental returns of 3.7-5.9% can effectively service reduced borrowing costs and generate positive cash flows.

What are the current rental yields across different suburbs in Adelaide?

Rental yields across Adelaide suburbs vary significantly based on location, property type, and local demand dynamics, offering investors diverse opportunities for income generation.

The highest rental yields for houses in greater Adelaide are found in Elizabeth Downs at 5.6%, where median house prices of $502,500 generate weekly rents of $455. Nearby Elizabeth Vale offers the strongest unit yields at 6.6%, with $300,000 median unit prices producing $350 weekly rents. These northern suburbs provide exceptional cash flow returns for investors willing to target affordable segments.

Mid-tier suburbs offer balanced yield and capital growth prospects. Munno Para West delivers 4.9% yields with $527 weekly house rents, while Paralowie achieves 4.0% yields with strong capital appreciation potential. Coastal suburbs like Christies Beach and Seaford offer 3.8-4.2% yields combined with lifestyle appeal and tourism-related rental demand.

Inner city yields reflect premium locations with moderate returns. Adelaide CBD houses yield 3.3% with $620 weekly rents, while CBD units achieve 5.9% yields at $600 weekly rents. Walkerville units provide 6.3% yields, combining accessibility with strong rental demand from professionals working in the city center.

The rental yield landscape demonstrates that investors can achieve 4.5-5.9% returns in growth suburbs while accepting 3.3-4.0% yields in premium locations with stronger capital growth prospects. This diversity allows investors to match their income and growth objectives with appropriate suburb selection.

How tight is the rental vacancy rate in Adelaide, and is it trending up or down?

Adelaide's rental market remains among the tightest in Australia with a 0.8% vacancy rate as of September 2025, though conditions are gradually loosening from previous extremes.

The current 0.8% vacancy rate represents a slight increase from 0.6% the previous year but remains well below the 2-3% range considered balanced between tenants and landlords. This low vacancy rate creates a landlord-favored market where properties rent quickly, often with multiple applications per listing. Nearly half of Adelaide's suburbs maintain vacancy rates below 1%, demonstrating the widespread nature of rental scarcity.

The gradual loosening reflects increased investor activity over recent years, with substantial apartment developments and investor purchases adding rental stock to the market. However, this improvement remains marginal given continued population growth and strong rental demand from young professionals and interstate migrants. Weekly rents have increased 4.7% annually despite the slight vacancy rate improvement.

Regional variations show some suburban areas maintaining vacancy rates near zero, while inner city areas with new apartment completions experience slightly higher vacancy rates around 1-1.5%. The rental market is expected to remain tight through 2025 and into 2026, supporting continued rental growth and maintaining Adelaide's appeal for investors seeking reliable cash flow returns.

What infrastructure or government projects are planned that could impact property values in Adelaide?

Several major infrastructure and government projects are positioned to significantly enhance property values across different Adelaide corridors over the next 2-3 years.

1. **North-South Corridor Completion**: The T2D Project's $billion+ investment will create seamless connectivity between northern and southern suburbs, particularly benefiting outer areas with improved CBD access and reduced commute times.2. **Women's and Children's Hospital**: The $3.2 billion healthcare facility will create a major employment hub, generating thousands of construction jobs and permanent healthcare positions that will drive residential demand in surrounding areas.3. **Innovation and Technology Hubs**: The planned 16-storey innovation center will establish Adelaide as a technology destination, attracting skilled workers and supporting premium residential demand in nearby suburbs.4. **Urban Renewal Programs**: Comprehensive streetscape improvements across Hindley Street, Grenfell Street, and key commercial corridors will enhance inner-city liveability and property values.5. **Airport and Transport Upgrades**: Continued improvements to Adelaide Airport and public transport infrastructure will benefit residential areas with enhanced connectivity and accessibility.

These projects represent over $10 billion in combined investment that will create employment opportunities, improve connectivity, and enhance lifestyle amenities across Adelaide. The infrastructure development pattern particularly benefits northern suburbs, coastal areas, and transport corridors, creating multiple property value growth opportunities for strategic investors.

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Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. Your Mortgage - Median House Prices Australia
  2. OpenAgent Adelaide Property Market Data
  3. Property Update National Housing Market
  4. RealEstate.com.au SA Market Update
  5. Broker News Adelaide Growth Report
  6. Which Real Estate Agent Adelaide Market Update
  7. Canstar Best Adelaide Investment Suburbs
  8. API Magazine Adelaide Market Analysis
  9. AEDA Major Projects Adelaide
  10. Savings.com.au Rental Yield Analysis