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Will real estate prices in Ho Chi Minh City go up in 2025?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Vietnam Property Pack

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Property prices in Ho Chi Minh City have surged dramatically in 2025, with apartments reaching record highs of $4,691 per square meter – a staggering 47% increase year-on-year.

The city's real estate market has entered an unprecedented growth phase driven by limited supply, massive infrastructure investments, and record foreign investment. As Vietnam's economic powerhouse continues its rapid transformation with new metro lines and financial districts, property values show no signs of slowing down through 2025 and into 2026.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Vietnam, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

How this content was created πŸ”ŽπŸ“

At BambooRoutes, we explore the Vietnamese real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distanceβ€”we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Ho Chi Minh City, Hanoi, and Da Nang. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

How much have Ho Chi Minh City apartment prices increased in 2025?

Ho Chi Minh City apartment prices have reached unprecedented levels in 2025, marking one of the most dramatic surges in Southeast Asian property markets.

As of Q2 2025, the average primary price for apartments hit a record $4,691 per square meter, representing a remarkable 47% year-on-year increase. This means prices have jumped nearly 28% just since late 2024, according to Cushman & Wakefield's latest market report.

The price surge varies significantly across market segments. High-end apartments lead with 30-50% annual increases, while central district properties show 20-30% growth. Even suburban apartments, traditionally more stable, recorded 10-15% gains. Landed housing like villas and townhouses experienced exceptional 41% price growth due to extreme scarcity.

In Vietnamese dong terms, apartments now average between VND 71.8 million ($2,721) and VND 92 million ($3,565) per square meter, depending on location and quality. The luxury segment commands 80-200 million VND per square meter ($3,100-$7,800), with exclusive projects reaching $15,000 per square meter.

These dramatic increases reflect a perfect storm of limited supply, strong economic growth at 7.09% in 2024, and massive infrastructure investments including the newly operational Metro Line 1.

Which Ho Chi Minh City districts are seeing the fastest price growth in 2025?

Thu Thiem emerges as the clear leader in rapid price appreciation, establishing itself as Ho Chi Minh City's premier financial district.

This emerging area has experienced 10-20% price growth in just Q1-Q2 2025 alone, building on a 50-220% increase over the past five years. Current prices in Thu Thiem exceed $6,500 per square meter, driven by its transformation into a modern financial hub with international-grade office towers and luxury residences.

Districts along the new Metro Line 1 represent the second-fastest growing areas. Thu Duc City leads with 15% year-on-year increases, followed by Binh Thanh District where multiple metro stations boost accessibility. District 2 (now part of Thu Duc City) attracts premium developments pushing prices higher, while District 9 offers more affordable options with rapid appreciation potential.

The Metro Line 1 effect proves substantial – properties along this corridor have increased 50-70% since 2015, with some projects up 150%. Properties within 500 meters of metro stations command 15-20% premiums compared to similar properties farther away.

Eastern corridor districts benefit significantly from new infrastructure connections, with the Ring Road 3 and Long Thanh Airport projects driving 8-15% annual price growth expectations through 2026.

What types of properties are experiencing the sharpest price increases as of mid-2025?

Branded residences and luxury apartments dominate the price surge landscape in Ho Chi Minh City's property market.

These premium properties lead with 30-50% year-on-year increases, commanding prices from $5,400 to $15,000 per square meter. International branded residences developed by companies like Masterise Homes, Vinhomes, and CapitaLand attract wealthy Asian investors, particularly from South Korea, Singapore, and China.

Landed housing follows closely with 41% annual growth, driven by extreme scarcity in central areas. Villas and townhouses in Districts 2 and 7 now exceed $10,000 per square meter, with primary prices reaching $11,978 per square meter in Q1 2025 – a 12% quarterly increase.

High-end condominiums show 30-40% appreciation, benefiting from foreign buyer interest and limited supply. Mid-range apartments experience 20-30% growth as spillover demand from the luxury segment pushes buyers toward more affordable options. Even suburban apartments, traditionally the most stable segment, record 10-15% increases.

The luxury focus reflects developer strategies – 70% of new launches target the high-end market, with only 5% allocated to affordable housing, the lowest level in a decade.

How does Ho Chi Minh City's current property supply situation look in Q2 2025?

The supply crisis has reached critical levels, with new apartment supply hitting historic lows across all segments.

Q1 2025 saw only 800-2,400 new units launched, marking a 24% drop quarter-on-quarter. The total primary apartment stock stands at approximately 5,000 units – the lowest availability in over a decade. This severe shortage drives the unprecedented price increases across all market segments.

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Current supply breakdown shows 70% of new launches targeting the luxury segment, 25% for mid-range properties, and less than 5% for affordable housing. The supply-demand gap has widened dramatically, with demand exceeding supply by 3:1 in central districts.

Legal bottlenecks continue constraining development. While 34 of 64 stalled projects in Ho Chi Minh City resolved difficulties by end-2024, many remain delayed. The new land price framework has forced developers to reprice projects upward, further limiting affordable options.

Looking ahead, approximately 7,000 prime apartments are expected for 2025, with 35,000 units projected over the next three years. However, this pipeline remains insufficient to meet growing demand from both local and foreign buyers.

What impact is the new land price framework having on property prices in 2025?

Decision No. 79/2024, effective from October 31, 2024, has fundamentally reshaped Ho Chi Minh City's property market dynamics.

Official land prices increased by 4 to 38 times depending on location, with District 1 seeing the most dramatic changes. The new maximum land price in District 1 reached VND 687 million per square meter ($27,000), a 38-fold increase that immediately pushed property prices up 10-15%.

District New Max Land Price (VND/sqm) Increase Multiple Property Price Impact
District 1 687 million ($27,000) 38x +10-15%
Central Districts 400-600 million 20-30x +8-12%
Thu Duc City 100-300 million 10-20x +10-15%
Suburban Areas 50-150 million 4-10x +5-8%
Outer Districts 20-80 million 4-8x +3-5%

Experts predict this framework will push property prices up an additional 15-30% over the next 12-18 months as development costs increase and new projects incorporate higher land values.

While aimed at increasing transparency and aligning with market values, the framework has created immediate upward pressure on prices as developers pass increased costs to buyers.

How much have property prices increased since the 2023 market trough?

Ho Chi Minh City's property market has staged one of the most remarkable recoveries in Southeast Asian real estate history.

Current prices in Q2 2025 stand 35% higher than pre-pandemic levels, completely erasing the 2023 downturn when prices contracted up to 16% from their previous peak. The recovery accelerated dramatically in Q4 2024, with prices surpassing pre-trough levels by Q1 2025 and reaching new all-time highs by Q2 2025.

The luxury segment performed even more spectacularly, with prices in the city center doubling over the past eight years. This represents one of the fastest recoveries among major Southeast Asian property markets, outpacing Bangkok, Kuala Lumpur, and Manila.

The recovery timeline shows distinct phases: the 2023 trough saw transaction volumes drop 54% quarter-over-quarter, but by late 2024, improved lending conditions and new housing laws sparked renewed interest. The momentum accelerated with Metro Line 1's completion and the implementation of the new land price framework.

This V-shaped recovery reflects strong underlying fundamentals – Vietnam's 7.09% GDP growth in 2024, record foreign investment, and pent-up demand from years of limited supply.

What are the current mortgage rates and lending conditions for property buyers in June 2025?

Vietnam's property lending environment has stabilized significantly, supporting the market's dramatic price growth.

Average mortgage rates currently range from 9.5-11.5% per annum, down from peaks above 12% in 2023. State-owned banks like BIDV, Vietcombank, and VietinBank offer the most competitive rates at 5-7% for fixed periods, with BIDV's special three-year fixed rate at 5.5% proving particularly popular among buyers.

Bank Type Interest Rate Range Key Terms
State-owned Banks 5-7% (fixed) 70% LTV for first homes
Private Banks 5-8% (fixed) 50% LTV for second properties
Floating Rates 9-10% (state) / 12%+ (private) Income 2.5-3x monthly payment

Banks increasingly favor high-end property purchases in established developments, with stricter income verification requiring proof of income 2.5-3 times the monthly payment. Foreign buyers face limited options, primarily through select international banks.

The improved lending environment, with rates stabilized after 2024 increases and better credit availability compared to 2023-2024, continues fueling demand despite rising prices.

How does Ho Chi Minh City's property market compare to other Southeast Asian cities in 2025?

Ho Chi Minh City exhibits the fastest property price appreciation in Southeast Asia, though absolute prices remain competitive.

With 30-50% year-on-year growth in the luxury segment, Ho Chi Minh City dramatically outpaces regional peers. Singapore and Hong Kong, as mature markets, show modest 3-8% growth, while Bangkok experiences 15-20% increases – the only comparable growth rate in the region.

It's something we develop in our Vietnam property pack.

City Luxury Price Range (USD/sqm) YoY Growth Market Status
Singapore $25,000-$35,000 +5-8% Mature, stable
Hong Kong $30,000-$45,000 +3-5% Mature, volatile
Bangkok $8,000-$15,000 +15-20% Growing rapidly
Ho Chi Minh City $5,400-$15,000 +30-50% Fastest growth
Kuala Lumpur $4,000-$8,000 +8-12% Steady growth
Manila $4,500-$9,000 +10-15% Recovering

Despite rapid appreciation, Ho Chi Minh City luxury properties remain priced below Singapore and Hong Kong levels, offering relative value for international investors.

The city's growth trajectory mirrors Bangkok's emergence as a luxury destination, suggesting potential for continued appreciation as the market matures.

What is driving foreign investment in Ho Chi Minh City real estate in 2025?

Foreign direct investment in Ho Chi Minh City real estate has reached record highs, with nearly $2.4 billion in Q1 2025 alone – a 46% year-on-year surge.

Several converging factors fuel this unprecedented foreign interest. Relaxed ownership rules now allow longer leases and easier property transfers, while Vietnam's 6.5-7% annual economic growth outpaces regional peers. The manufacturing shift from China brings expatriate professionals, and new Golden Visa programs attract wealthy Asian investors.

Infrastructure mega-projects prove particularly attractive to foreign buyers. Metro Line 1's completion, Thu Thiem's transformation into a financial district, and the upcoming Long Thanh Airport create compelling investment narratives. The most active foreign buyers come from South Korea (25% of foreign purchases), Singapore (20%), China (15%), Taiwan (12%), and Japan (10%).

Government policies actively court foreign investment, with the new Real Estate Business Law and Housing Law creating a more transparent regulatory framework. Foreign ownership caps remain at 30% per building, but improved legal clarity reduces investment risks.

This foreign investment surge directly impacts prices, particularly in luxury segments where international buyers compete with wealthy locals, driving the 30-50% annual appreciation in premium properties.

What are experts forecasting for Ho Chi Minh City property prices in 2026?

Market analysts project continued robust growth, with high-end apartments expected to appreciate 8-10% annually in 2026.

Select areas like Thu Thiem could see even higher increases as the district fully establishes itself as a financial hub. The consensus among experts from CBRE, Cushman & Wakefield, and Savills points to sustained but more moderate growth compared to 2025's exceptional gains.

Forecast breakdown by segment shows luxury properties leading with 10-15% expected growth, driven by continued foreign demand and limited supply. Central district apartments project 8-10% increases due to ongoing supply constraints. Suburban developments anticipate 6-8% growth as infrastructure improvements enhance connectivity. Landed housing expects 12-15% appreciation given extreme scarcity.

Key supporting factors include completed infrastructure projects like Ring Road 3 and Long Thanh Airport Phase 1, sustained FDI at record levels, and full implementation of new property laws enhancing market transparency. Vietnam's projected 6.5% GDP growth provides a solid economic foundation.

While growth rates may moderate from 2025's exceptional levels, all indicators suggest Ho Chi Minh City will maintain its position as Southeast Asia's fastest-appreciating major property market through 2026.

Which infrastructure projects will impact property values through 2025-2026?

Major infrastructure developments are fundamentally reshaping Ho Chi Minh City's property landscape and driving substantial price appreciation.

Metro Line 1, now operational since Q1 2025, leads the transformation. Properties within 500 meters of stations already command 15-20% premiums, with the "metro effect" expected to strengthen as ridership increases. Thu Duc City and Districts 1-2 benefit most, seeing 15-25% price impacts.

Project Status Areas Affected Price Impact
Metro Line 1 Operational (Q1 2025) Thu Duc, District 1-2 +15-25%
Thu Thiem Bridge 4 Under construction Thu Thiem, District 7 +10-20%
Ring Road 3 2026 completion Suburban districts +8-15%
Long Thanh Airport 2026 (Phase 1) Eastern districts +12-18%
Metro Line 2 Planning phase Western districts +5-10% expected

Ring Road 3's 2026 completion will dramatically improve suburban connectivity, while Long Thanh Airport positions eastern districts for significant appreciation.

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These projects create a multiplier effect – improved accessibility attracts development, which draws residents and businesses, further driving property values in a self-reinforcing cycle.

What risks could reverse Ho Chi Minh City's property price growth in 2025-2026?

While the outlook remains overwhelmingly positive, several risk factors merit consideration for potential market corrections.

Global economic shocks present the primary risk, as international recession could curtail the FDI flows currently driving luxury segment growth. Vietnam's export-dependent economy remains vulnerable to global trade disruptions, though the 46% reciprocal tax proposed by the U.S. represents more of a negotiation stance than immediate threat.

Interest rate spikes could significantly impact local buyer affordability. While current rates have stabilized at 9.5-11.5%, any sharp increases could price out middle-class buyers, potentially triggering a demand slowdown. The market's heavy reliance on leverage makes it particularly sensitive to rate changes.

Oversupply in the luxury segment poses a medium-term risk if multiple delayed projects launch simultaneously. With 70% of new supply targeting high-end buyers, a sudden influx could temporarily soften prices in this segment.

However, most analysts view these as manageable risks rather than likely scenarios. Strong underlying fundamentals – population growth, urbanization, infrastructure development, and economic expansion – suggest any corrections would be temporary rather than structural reversals.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

infographics comparison property prices Ho Chi Minh City

We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Vietnam compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It's an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

Sources

  1. Global Property Guide - Vietnam Price History
  2. Cushman & Wakefield - HCMC Residential MarketBeat Q1 2025
  3. Vietnam Investment Review - HCMC Apartment Prices Hit Record Highs
  4. CBRE Vietnam - Market Outlook 2025
  5. Avison Young - Vietnam Real Estate Q1 2025 Report
  6. Bamboo Routes - Ho Chi Minh City Price Forecasts
  7. Vietnam Briefing - Real Estate Market 2025
  8. The Investor - Vietnam Market Outlook Q2 2025
  9. Bamboo Routes - HCMC Real Estate Market Statistics
  10. FazWaz - Property for Sale in Ho Chi Minh City
  11. InvestAsian - Buying a Condo in HCMC Guide

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