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How is the property market forecast in Chiang Mai?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Thailand Property Pack

property investment Chiang Mai

Yes, the analysis of Chiang Mai's property market is included in our pack

Chiang Mai's property market is showing strong momentum with condo prices averaging THB 76,751 per square meter and house prices at THB 42,969 per square meter as of September 2025.

The market has experienced robust growth over the past five years, with condos appreciating approximately 60% and houses rising 25-35% in value. Foreign buyer interest has increased significantly, now representing 25-35% of purchases compared to 15-20% three years ago, primarily driven by Chinese, Korean, and other Asian investors.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Thailand, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At BambooRoutes, we explore the Thai real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Bangkok, Chiang Mai, and Phuket. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What's the current average price per square meter for condos and houses in Chiang Mai right now?

As of September 2025, condos in Chiang Mai city center average THB 76,751 per square meter.

Studio apartments command approximately THB 70,009 per square meter, while two-bedroom units in prime locations reach THB 86,280 per square meter. These prices reflect the premium for central locations with better amenities and transportation access.

Houses present a different pricing structure, with city properties averaging THB 42,969 per square meter. Suburban houses offer more affordable options, ranging from THB 28,000 to THB 35,000 per square meter depending on the specific location and development quality.

The price differential between condos and houses reflects the land scarcity in central Chiang Mai and the higher construction costs associated with high-rise developments. Prime areas like Nimman, Chang Khlan, and near Chiang Mai University command the highest premiums.

It's something we develop in our Thailand property pack.

How have property prices in Chiang Mai changed over the past 5 years, in percentage terms and baht values?

Chiang Mai's condo market has experienced remarkable growth, with prices rising approximately 12% annually over the past five years.

In baht terms, condos have appreciated roughly 60% since 2020, meaning properties that cost THB 48,000 per square meter in 2020 now average THB 76,751 per square meter. This translates to an increase of nearly THB 29,000 per square meter over the five-year period.

House price appreciation has been more moderate but still substantial, growing 5-7% annually. Houses have increased 25-35% in total value over the same period, with suburban properties showing slightly lower growth rates than city center houses.

The acceleration in condo prices reflects strong demand from both local buyers upgrading from traditional housing and foreign investors seeking modern amenities. Houses have maintained steadier growth due to land availability constraints and established neighborhood preferences among Thai buyers.

What is the forecasted annual price growth rate for the next 3 to 5 years?

The forecasted annual price growth rate for Chiang Mai condos is projected at 5-7% over the next 3-5 years.

Houses are expected to appreciate at a slightly slower pace of 3-5% annually during the same period. This moderation from previous years reflects market maturation and normalization after the recent rapid growth phase.

Central area condos, particularly those near infrastructure developments like the planned light rail system, may achieve growth rates at the higher end of this range. Projects in established neighborhoods such as Nimman and areas near Chiang Mai University are expected to maintain premium appreciation rates.

The growth projections account for continued foreign investor interest, planned infrastructure improvements, and steady domestic demand from Bangkok residents seeking secondary homes or retirement properties in Chiang Mai.

How many new residential units are expected to enter the Chiang Mai market each year over the next 5 years?

Chiang Mai's residential market expects to add 600-900 new units annually over the next five years, representing 5-7% growth in supply.

This supply growth is concentrated primarily in the condominium segment, with developers focusing on mid-rise and high-rise projects in central locations. New house developments are more limited due to land availability constraints in desirable areas.

The majority of new developments are targeting the mid-market segment, with unit prices ranging from THB 3-8 million for condos and THB 5-15 million for houses. Premium developments targeting foreign buyers continue to represent a smaller but significant portion of new supply.

Developer confidence remains strong, supported by robust pre-sales performance and the expectation that infrastructure improvements will drive continued demand growth throughout the forecast period.

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What is the current rental yield percentage for condos and houses in prime areas of Chiang Mai?

Rental yields in prime Chiang Mai locations currently range from 4-7% gross for both condos and houses.

Property Type Location Gross Rental Yield
Studio Condos Nimman/Old City 6-7%
1-Bedroom Condos Central Areas 5-6%
2-Bedroom Condos Prime Locations 4-6%
Houses Established Neighborhoods 4-5%
Townhouses Suburban Areas 5-6%
Luxury Properties Premium Areas 3-5%
Short-term Rentals Tourist Areas 7-9%

How does the average rental vacancy rate compare to Bangkok or Phuket right now?

Chiang Mai's rental vacancy rate stands at 7-9%, performing better than both Bangkok and Phuket.

Bangkok currently shows vacancy rates of 9-12%, while Phuket experiences higher vacancy rates of 10-15%. Chiang Mai's lower vacancy rate reflects steady rental demand from university students, expatriate workers, and digital nomads choosing the city for its lower cost of living.

The better vacancy performance in Chiang Mai stems from more affordable rental rates compared to Bangkok and more year-round demand stability compared to Phuket's tourism-dependent market. Long-term rental agreements are more common in Chiang Mai, providing landlords with more predictable income streams.

Seasonal variations in Chiang Mai are less pronounced than in tourist-heavy markets, with demand remaining relatively stable throughout the year due to the diverse tenant mix including local professionals, students, and long-stay expatriates.

What percentage of buyers in Chiang Mai are foreign versus Thai, and how has this shifted over the past 3 years?

Foreign buyers now represent approximately 25-35% of Chiang Mai's property purchases as of September 2025.

This marks a significant increase from 15-20% three years ago, representing a growth of 10-15 percentage points in foreign buyer participation. The shift reflects increased international interest in Chiang Mai as both an investment destination and lifestyle location.

Chinese, Korean, and other Asian buyers comprise the majority of foreign purchasers, drawn by relatively affordable prices compared to their home markets and Thailand's stable property rights for foreigners in condominiums. European and American buyers represent a smaller but growing segment.

Thai buyers still dominate the market at 65-75%, but their share has decreased as foreign interest has intensified. Many Thai buyers are from Bangkok, purchasing second homes or investment properties attracted by Chiang Mai's lower prices and lifestyle appeal.

It's something we develop in our Thailand property pack.

What is the current absorption rate of new projects (how many units sold versus total launched)?

New condominium projects in Chiang Mai achieve absorption rates of 70-80% within six months of launch.

This robust absorption rate indicates strong market demand and developer confidence in pricing strategies. Prime projects in central locations often reach the foreign ownership quota of 49% quickly, sometimes within the first few months of sales launch.

House projects typically show slower absorption rates of 50-60% within six months, but maintain steady sales throughout the development period. The difference reflects the higher unit values and more deliberate purchase decisions for landed properties.

Pre-sales performance has been particularly strong, with many developers achieving 40-50% sales before construction completion. This pre-sales success allows developers to secure construction financing and provides buyers with attractive early-bird pricing.

infographics rental yields citiesChiang Mai

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Thailand versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

How many large-scale infrastructure or commercial projects are planned in Chiang Mai in the next 5 years that could impact property demand?

Several major infrastructure and commercial projects are planned for Chiang Mai over the next five years that will significantly impact property demand.

1. **Chiang Mai Airport Expansion** - The airport is undergoing major expansion to handle increased passenger capacity, improving connectivity and attracting more international visitors and residents.2. **Light Rail Development** - A light rail system is in planning stages to connect major districts, which will enhance property values along the proposed routes.3. **New Shopping Centers** - Multiple large-scale retail and commercial complexes are planned, including mixed-use developments that combine retail, office, and residential components.4. **University Expansion Projects** - Chiang Mai University and other educational institutions are expanding facilities, driving demand for nearby residential properties.5. **Healthcare Infrastructure** - New private hospitals and medical facilities are planned, supporting medical tourism and attracting retirees to the area.

What is the average time on market for properties before they sell, and how has this trend moved in the last 2 years?

Properties in Chiang Mai currently spend an average of 74 days on the market before selling.

This represents a significant improvement from 107 days two years ago, indicating a 31% reduction in time on market. The faster sales cycle demonstrates increased buyer confidence and stronger market liquidity.

Condos in prime locations sell even faster, often within 45-60 days, while houses typically require 80-90 days. The improvement in sales velocity reflects better marketing strategies by agents, more accurate pricing by sellers, and increased buyer activity.

The trend toward faster sales has been consistent over the past two years, with gradual monthly improvements as market conditions have strengthened and buyer interest has intensified.

How does Chiang Mai's property market compare in affordability to the national average, based on income-to-price ratios?

Chiang Mai remains considerably more affordable than the national average, with income-to-price ratios significantly more favorable than major Thai cities.

Location Property Type Income-to-Price Ratio
Chiang Mai Condos 6-8x annual income
Bangkok Condos 11-13x annual income
Chiang Mai Houses 7-9x annual income
Bangkok Houses 12-15x annual income
Phuket Condos 9-11x annual income
Pattaya Condos 8-10x annual income
National Average All Properties 9-11x annual income

What do major banks in Thailand project for mortgage rates over the next 12 to 24 months, and how could that influence demand in Chiang Mai?

Major Thai banks project mortgage rates to remain stable at 5.7-6.5% over the next 12-24 months.

Banks anticipate possible minor upward adjustments if the Thai economy accelerates significantly, but expect rates to stay within the current range. This stability provides predictability for property buyers planning their financing strategies.

The stable rate environment is expected to maintain steady demand in Chiang Mai, particularly in the mid-market condo segment where buyers are more sensitive to financing costs. Lower rates compared to many international markets continue to attract foreign buyers using Thai bank financing.

If rates increase toward the higher end of the projected range, demand may shift slightly toward lower-priced properties and areas with better appreciation potential. However, the impact is expected to be moderate given Chiang Mai's overall affordability compared to other major Thai cities.

It's something we develop in our Thailand property pack.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. BambooRoutes - Chiang Mai Price Forecasts
  2. BambooRoutes - Chiang Mai Property
  3. Properstar - Chiang Mai House Prices
  4. BambooRoutes - Average Rent Chiang Mai
  5. RE/MAX Thailand - Chiang Mai Real Estate Horizons
  6. Property in Thailand - Market 2025
  7. Krungsri Research - Thailand Industry Outlook
  8. Bangkok Post - Chiang Mai Property to Soar
  9. BambooRoutes - Chiang Mai Real Estate Market
  10. Global Property Guide - Thailand Rental Yields