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Bali: Off-plan project risks (construction/delays)

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Indonesia Property Pack

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Yes, the analysis of Bali's property market is included in our pack

Bali off-plan projects promise returns of 12-20% annually, but construction delays are the norm rather than the exception.

While off-plan villas are priced 15-30% below completed properties, most projects face significant delays, legal hurdles, and developer reliability issues that can seriously impact your investment timeline and returns.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Indonesia, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At BambooRoutes, we explore the Indonesian real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Denpasar, Ubud, and Canggu. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

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Daniel Rouquette 🇫🇷

CEO & Co-Founder at Villa Finder

Daniel Rouquette is very knowledgeable about the Bali villa market, as Villa Finder offers a vast selection of properties across the island. As the CEO and Co-Founder of Villa Finder, he has been leading the company since 2012, providing high-quality villa rentals and personalized concierge services. With over 4,000 villas in 28 destinations, Villa Finder has become a trusted name in luxury short-term rentals in the Asia-Pacific region.

How much higher are the returns on Bali off-plan projects compared to buying a finished villa today?

Off-plan villa projects in Bali generate projected annual returns of 12-20% compared to 7-15% for completed villas.

This significant difference stems primarily from the 15-30% discount you receive when purchasing off-plan properties. During the construction period, which typically takes 18-36 months, your property appreciates from the discounted purchase price toward market value.

The capital appreciation component accounts for most of the higher returns, as completed luxury villas can command up to double the off-plan price depending on location and finishing quality. For example, if you purchase an off-plan villa in Canggu for $300,000, the completed property might be valued at $400,000-450,000 upon handover.

However, these projected returns assume on-time delivery and stable market conditions. Rental yield projections for both categories generally fall within the same 7-20% range once operational, depending on location and property management quality.

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What are the typical construction delays in Bali and how often do projects actually finish on time?

Construction delays in Bali are the norm rather than the exception, with very few projects delivered on schedule.

Most off-plan villa projects experience delays ranging from 6-18 months beyond the originally promised completion date. Industry sources consistently report that timely delivery is extremely rare, with delays being standard across the market.

The primary causes include permit processing delays, material supply disruptions, labor shortages during peak construction seasons, and complex regulatory approvals. Weather conditions during the rainy season (October-March) can further extend construction timelines.

Investors should build significant buffer periods into their investment planning, typically adding 12-18 months to any developer-promised completion date. Some projects have experienced delays exceeding two years, particularly those facing legal or zoning complications.

How reliable are developers in Bali, and what track record do they have with delivering completed properties?

Developer reliability varies dramatically in Bali's property market, with established firms being the exception rather than the rule.

Most developers lack long-term track records, as the villa development boom is relatively recent. Many are new or inexperienced operators who struggle with quality control and delivery schedules.

The reliable developers include larger established firms like Mirah Investment & Development, which reports annual returns of 12-17% with high levels of repeat investors, and BREIG Property Development, which has achieved returns up to 35% on select projects.

However, these established developers represent a small fraction of the market. The majority of off-plan projects are undertaken by smaller, less experienced companies with limited proven track records. Due diligence on developer history, completed projects, and financial stability is crucial before committing to any off-plan purchase.

Warning signs include developers with no completed projects in Bali, unrealistic timeline promises, or reluctance to provide references from previous buyers.

What protections or guarantees exist for foreign buyers if a project is delayed or never completed?

Legal protections for foreign buyers in Bali off-plan projects are limited and often complex to enforce.

  • Some purchase contracts include "sunset clauses" that guarantee completion by a specific date, but breach remedies may be inadequate
  • Legal recourse through Indonesian courts is possible but often costly, time-consuming, and outcomes remain uncertain
  • Developer insurance or completion bonds are rare in the Bali market, unlike in more regulated markets
  • Escrow arrangements vary significantly between developers, with some offering staged payment protection and others requiring substantial upfront payments
  • Foreign buyers have limited ability to place liens or claims on land due to ownership restrictions under Indonesian law

The most effective protection is thorough due diligence before purchase, including engaging independent legal counsel to review all documentation, verify permits and approvals, and ensure proper contract terms.

Contract negotiation should focus on payment staging tied to construction milestones, clear penalty clauses for delays, and specific remedies for non-completion scenarios.

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How much more per square meter does an off-plan villa usually cost once completed compared to pre-construction pricing?

Completed villas typically command 15-30% higher prices per square meter compared to their off-plan purchase price.

This appreciation reflects the transition from a construction risk investment to a completed, tangible asset. The exact premium depends on location, finishing quality, and market conditions during the construction period.

Premium locations like Seminyak, Canggu, and Ubud often see the higher end of this range, with some luxury villas achieving even greater premiums of 40-50% for exceptional properties with high-end finishes and prime locations.

For example, an off-plan villa purchased at $2,500 per square meter might be valued at $3,000-3,500 per square meter upon completion. Properties with ocean views or in particularly desirable neighborhoods can command even higher premiums.

However, this appreciation assumes successful completion and favorable market conditions. Market downturns or oversupply situations can reduce or eliminate this price appreciation.

What percentage of Bali off-plan projects face legal or permit issues that stall construction?

Legal and permit issues are common in Bali off-plan projects, though exact statistics are not publicly available.

Industry professionals report that permit-related delays affect a significant portion of developments, particularly those in areas with evolving zoning regulations or environmental restrictions.

Common issues include building permit delays, environmental clearance complications, zoning compliance problems, and changes in local regulations during construction. Coastal and rice field developments face additional environmental and cultural heritage restrictions.

The regulatory environment in Bali is complex, with overlapping jurisdictions between local, provincial, and national authorities. Recent government initiatives to streamline permitting have helped, but bureaucratic delays remain common.

Projects in established villa areas with clear zoning face fewer issues than those in emerging locations or areas undergoing rapid development. Due diligence should always verify that all necessary permits are in place before construction begins.

How long is the average resale period after completion before you can realistically exit with profit?

The average resale period for profitable exit from a completed off-plan villa in Bali is typically 12-24 months after handover.

This timeline allows for property registration completion, marketing preparation, and finding qualified buyers in Bali's moderate liquidity market. Properties in prime locations like Seminyak or Canggu may sell faster, while those in emerging areas may require longer marketing periods.

Several factors influence resale timing including market conditions, property uniqueness, pricing strategy, and economic cycles. Villa properties require specialized buyers, often foreign investors or high-net-worth locals, which naturally extends the sales process compared to apartments or smaller properties.

The 12-24 month timeframe assumes proper property completion, clear legal documentation, and reasonable pricing. Properties with legal complications, poor finishing quality, or unrealistic pricing may require significantly longer to sell.

Market absorption rates vary by location and property type, with luxury villa markets generally requiring patience for optimal exit timing and pricing.

How does the financing structure usually work in Bali for off-plan projects, and how much cash is needed upfront?

Bali off-plan villa financing typically requires 10-20% as an initial deposit, with the balance paid in construction-linked stages.

Payment Stage Typical Percentage Construction Milestone
Initial Deposit 10-20% Contract signing
Foundation Complete 20-25% Foundation and structure
Structure Complete 20-25% Walls and roof finished
Fit-out Stage 20-25% Interior fit-out progress
Final Payment 10-20% Completion and handover

This structure makes off-plan investments more accessible than purchasing completed properties, as you don't need the full purchase amount upfront. However, delays can extend the payment schedule, requiring careful cash flow management.

Foreign buyers typically cannot access local Indonesian financing, so purchases must be made with cash or foreign financing secured against assets in their home country.

Some developers offer alternative arrangements, but standard practice involves stage payments tied to construction progress, providing some protection against project abandonment.

What are the risks of fluctuating construction costs in Bali, and who absorbs those overruns—the buyer or the developer?

Construction cost fluctuations pose significant risks in Bali, with responsibility for overruns depending entirely on contract terms.

Fixed-price contracts protect buyers from material cost increases, labor shortages, and currency fluctuations. Under these arrangements, developers absorb all cost overruns, but may compromise on quality or face financial difficulties if costs spike significantly.

Cost-plus contracts pass material and labor cost increases directly to buyers. While this ensures developers maintain quality standards, it exposes buyers to potentially unlimited cost escalation during construction.

Recent years have seen significant construction cost volatility due to global supply chain disruptions, Indonesian rupiah fluctuations, and local material shortages. Steel, cement, and imported finishes have experienced particularly high volatility.

Contract review is essential to understand cost allocation. Buyers should negotiate caps on cost increases under cost-plus arrangements and ensure fixed-price contracts include specific quality standards and material specifications.

It's something we develop in our Indonesia property pack.

infographics rental yields citiesBali

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Indonesia versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

What are the rental yield projections for newly built off-plan villas in Bali compared to established, already operating villas?

Rental yield projections for newly completed off-plan villas typically match or slightly exceed established villa yields, ranging from 7-20% annually depending on location and management.

New villas often command premium rental rates initially due to modern amenities, contemporary design, and pristine condition. However, they require time to build guest reviews and recognition on booking platforms, which can initially limit occupancy rates.

Established villas benefit from proven track records, established guest bases, and optimized operations, but may command lower nightly rates due to aging amenities or dated designs. Prime location established villas in Seminyak or Canggu typically achieve 12-18% yields with consistent occupancy.

New villa advantages include higher nightly rates, lower maintenance costs initially, and appeal to guests seeking luxury experiences. Disadvantages include slower booking ramp-up periods and higher marketing costs to establish market presence.

Actual yields depend heavily on property management quality, marketing effectiveness, and seasonal optimization strategies rather than just property age or condition.

How do infrastructure, zoning, and government regulations in Bali affect the likelihood of project completion?

Infrastructure gaps, zoning inconsistencies, and evolving government regulations significantly impact Bali off-plan project completion rates.

Bali's rapid development has outpaced infrastructure development in many areas, creating challenges for new projects. Water supply, electricity capacity, and road access limitations can delay or prevent project completion, particularly in emerging development areas.

Zoning regulations are complex and sometimes inconsistent, with overlapping jurisdictions between village (desa), regency, and provincial authorities. Recent regulatory changes have introduced stricter environmental requirements and building height restrictions in certain areas.

Government policy shifts can directly impact project viability. Recent initiatives include increased scrutiny of foreign ownership structures, environmental protection measures, and cultural heritage preservation requirements that can halt or modify ongoing developments.

Projects in established villa development areas with proven infrastructure and clear zoning face fewer regulatory risks than those in emerging locations or areas near rice fields, coastlines, or cultural sites.

Due diligence should verify infrastructure capacity, zoning compliance, and potential regulatory changes that could impact project completion.

What is the real difference in liquidity—how much harder is it to resell an off-plan commitment versus a completed villa in Bali?

Liquidity for off-plan commitments is severely limited compared to completed villas, with resale impossible until project completion and property registration.

Off-plan purchases cannot be legally transferred to new buyers until the property is completed and properly registered. This creates a complete liquidity freeze during the construction period, which can extend 24-48 months including delays.

Even assignment of contracts (transferring your purchase rights to another buyer) is often restricted or prohibited by developer contracts. Where permitted, assignments typically require developer approval and may incur significant fees.

Completed villas offer moderate liquidity in Bali's villa market, with typical marketing periods of 3-12 months depending on location, pricing, and market conditions. Prime locations like Seminyak sell faster than emerging areas.

The villa market in Bali requires patient capital, as the buyer pool is specialized and transactions require significant due diligence. However, completed properties offer the flexibility to adjust pricing, marketing strategies, or even rental income generation while seeking buyers.

For investors requiring liquidity flexibility, completed properties provide significantly better options despite higher initial investment requirements.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

It's something we develop in our Indonesia property pack.

Sources

  1. The Bali Homes - Buy Off-Plan Villa in Bali
  2. Exotiq Property - Buying Off-Plan Property in Bali
  3. Bali Exception - Off-Plan Property Investments
  4. Ilot Property Bali - High Property Returns
  5. Harcourts Purba Bali - Benefits of Off-Plan Property
  6. Ilot Property Bali - How to Buy Off-Plan
  7. Mel Francis Villas - Buying Villa in Bali
  8. Godulu - Best Real Estate Developers
  9. Coco Development Group - Property Developers vs Agents
  10. Invest Land Bali - Market Trends 2025